Yup. It was snowing when I woke up until maybe 10 minutes ago. Light flurries now. Didn't stick.
OT: Snow - a little tonight, maybe more Mon-Tues
- Thread starter RU4Real
- Start date
Yup. It was snowing when I woke up until maybe 10 minutes ago. Light flurries now. Didn't stick.
you guys will have some light stuff from time to time but its Long Island that's going to get hammered with this first batch
Yeah, looking at the radar heavier bands are right off our coast.
Must be a hell of a storm out at sea. I saw something on the news about a big cruise liner that left from Bayonne getting hammered by 20' waves off the Carolina coast. They have to dock in Fla to make repairs.
Just watched that video on that website we don't link here. Someone from our office is on that cruise ship!
I'm down in Orlando this week. Couldn't have picked a colder week to go on vacation. At least the sun is out but c'mon, 55-65 degrees for the highs all week here.
norlun/inverted trough setup will determine jackpots for tomorrow...weenies of course on americanwx wishcasting it sets up further north than forecasted and modeled. These are hard to pinpoint, the 12z NAM did have some lollipops in parts of central jersey
Same thing although not quite as bad happened to my daughter. I gave her a spring break cruise as part of her graduation present. They got hit bad as soon as they got out of NY harbor. Captain confined the passengers to their cabins for a while. She said everyone she was with was sea sick. Took a whole night to get through it
No. That's when it stopped. I was up by 9:00. That's what you do when you're semi retired and when you do work it's never before 11am.
It was snowing for a large part of the morning shift here in Manhattan, but nothing really stuck.
It was snowing but nothing stuck in the city. Was just outside and you would not have known it snowed.
this basically went as forecasted...non event for today and tomorrow is all about where the trough sets up. I wonder if temps will overperform again tomorrow like they did today
NAM was pretty much 2-5 region wide as the trough sets up from about Princeton down through Philly but then northern sections may get in on some heavier stuff as the trough actually spins a low off the coast
snow is expected to start sometime tonight, its going to be light much of the time and not accumulating but we are talking about a long duration event that will run possibly through tomorrow night. At some point during the day, timing is tough to pinpoint there will be heavier bands where we see our most accumulations.
the official forcast for most of central jersey is 2-5. I think they are worried about the inverted trough with banding IF AND ITS A BIG IF that sets up shop then you have the potential for 4-6. Lets also remember its going to come down light for a long time during daylight, if the snow isn't heavy enough and temps are above freezing, this stuff is going to have some difficulty. I see this similar to the last system in terms of what it actually sticks or doesn't stick to but spread out longer and with the potential for heavier bands
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
322 PM EST MON FEB 8 2016
...ACCUMULATING SNOW EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION LATER TONIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY...
.AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL REDEVELOP OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST
LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. AS THIS OCCURS, A SURFACE TROUGH
WILL EXTEND WESTWARD FROM IT AND THIS SHOULD BE THE MAIN FOCUS FOR
HEAVIER SNOWFALL. THE LOCATION OF WHERE THIS FEATURE SETS UP WILL
DETERMINE THE AXIS OF THE HEAVIER ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL.
NJZ009-010-012>015-PAZ060-061-103-105-091000-
/O.NEW.KPHI.WW.Y.0006.160209T0500Z-160210T1100Z/
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-
MERCER-BERKS-LEHIGH-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...
NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...TRENTON...READING...
ALLENTOWN...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...CHALFONT...PERKASIE
322 PM EST MON FEB 8 2016
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
6 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6
AM EST WEDNESDAY.
* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 5 INCHES.
* TIMING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT, THEN CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW HAS
THE POTENTIAL TO FALL AT A MODERATE TO HEAVY RATE AT TIMES
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACTS...ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL AFFECT TRAVEL LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT, INCLUDING THE RUSH HOUR COMMUTES. THE
ROAD CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY DETERIORATE DURING TIMES OF HEAVIER
SNOWFALL RATES. REMEMBER, BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED SURFACES
TEND TO BECOME SLIPPERY FIRST.
* VISIBILITIES...ONE HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.
* TEMPERATURES...DROPPING INTO THE MID AND UPPER 20S LATER
TONIGHT, THEN RISING TO AROUND FREEZING FOR A TIME TUESDAY.
* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES, AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.
REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
BY CALLING OUR TRAINED SPOTTER LINE, POSTING TO THE NWS MOUNT
HOLLY FACEBOOK PAGE, OR USING TWITTER @NWS_MOUNTHOLLY.
SNOWFALL AND ICE ACCUMULATION FORECAST MAPS IN ADDITION TO
EXPERIMENTAL PROBABILISTIC SNOWFALL INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
EVENT ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/WINTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
322 PM EST MON FEB 8 2016
...ACCUMULATING SNOW EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION LATER TONIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY...
.AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL REDEVELOP OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST
LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. AS THIS OCCURS, A SURFACE TROUGH
WILL EXTEND WESTWARD FROM IT AND THIS SHOULD BE THE MAIN FOCUS FOR
HEAVIER SNOWFALL. THE LOCATION OF WHERE THIS FEATURE SETS UP WILL
DETERMINE THE AXIS OF THE HEAVIER ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL.
NJZ009-010-012>015-PAZ060-061-103-105-091000-
/O.NEW.KPHI.WW.Y.0006.160209T0500Z-160210T1100Z/
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-
MERCER-BERKS-LEHIGH-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...
NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...TRENTON...READING...
ALLENTOWN...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...CHALFONT...PERKASIE
322 PM EST MON FEB 8 2016
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
6 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6
AM EST WEDNESDAY.
* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 5 INCHES.
* TIMING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT, THEN CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW HAS
THE POTENTIAL TO FALL AT A MODERATE TO HEAVY RATE AT TIMES
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACTS...ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL AFFECT TRAVEL LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT, INCLUDING THE RUSH HOUR COMMUTES. THE
ROAD CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY DETERIORATE DURING TIMES OF HEAVIER
SNOWFALL RATES. REMEMBER, BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED SURFACES
TEND TO BECOME SLIPPERY FIRST.
* VISIBILITIES...ONE HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.
* TEMPERATURES...DROPPING INTO THE MID AND UPPER 20S LATER
TONIGHT, THEN RISING TO AROUND FREEZING FOR A TIME TUESDAY.
* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES, AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.
REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
BY CALLING OUR TRAINED SPOTTER LINE, POSTING TO THE NWS MOUNT
HOLLY FACEBOOK PAGE, OR USING TWITTER @NWS_MOUNTHOLLY.
SNOWFALL AND ICE ACCUMULATION FORECAST MAPS IN ADDITION TO
EXPERIMENTAL PROBABILISTIC SNOWFALL INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
EVENT ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/WINTER
Mt Holly finally put out their afternoon disco....
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
WINTER STORM WARNING AND WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN
ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA.
AS THE FIRST STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO PULL AWAY FROM
THE AREA TONIGHT, ANOTHER IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND STRENGTHEN OFF
THE COAST TONIGHT, WHICH WILL HELP LEAD TO AN ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL.
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS CURRENTLY LOCATED ACROSS THE EASTERN
GREAT LAKES REGION, WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING SOUTH TOWARD
THE GULF COAST. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG
THIS BOUNDARY OVERNIGHT, BEFORE MOVING OFFSHORE TOWARD DAYBREAK. THE
FRONT WILL WEAKEN AND STRETCH OUT INTO MORE OF A SURFACE TROUGH
OVERNIGHT. MEANWHILE, A COUPLE OF SHORT WAVE/VORTICITY IMPULSES WILL
SLIDE ACROSS THE AREA WITHIN THE SOUTHWEST FLOW. THE ASSOCIATED LIFT
FROM THE SURFACE TROUGH AND VORTICITY IMPULSES, COMBINED WITH
INCREASING MOISTURE IN THE DENDRITIC ZONE WILL LEAD TO DEVELOPING
SNOWFALL THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL IS
EXPECTED TO BE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA, SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY, AS WELL AS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL DELMARVA WHERE 1 TO 3 INCHES
COULD FALL THROUGH DAYBREAK.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/...
SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BE ONGOING AT THE START OF TUESDAY AS THE
SURFACE TROUGH WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS OUR AREA AS THE COASTAL
LOW CONTINUES TO LIFT TO THE NORTHEAST. THE COMBINED LIFT FROM THE
SURFACE TROUGH, ALONG WITH A STRONGER VORTICITY IMPULSE EXPECTED
DURING THE DAY, WILL CONTINUE TO COMBINE WITH ENHANCED MOISTURE IN
THE DENDRITIC ZONE AND IS EXPECTED TO LEAD TO A PERIOD OF ENHANCED
SNOWFALL DURING THE DAY ACROSS THE AREA. IT MAY NOT SNOW THE
ENTIRE TIME DURING THE DAY TUESDAY, BUT WHEN IT DOES SNOW, THERE
COULD BE A FEW HEAVIER PERIODS. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES COULD
FALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA. ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AREAS,
SNOWFALL COLD CHANGE OVER AND/OR MIX WITH RAIN AT TIMES DURING THE
DAY WHICH WOULD LIMIT THEIR ACCUMULATIONS DURING THE DAY.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
A DEEP UPPER TROF/LOW WILL MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD FROM THE MIDWEST
ACROSS THE NORTHEAST AND MID ATLANTIC REGIONS OVER THE NEXT 2-3
DAYS. THIS WILL RESULT IN PERIODS OF SNOW ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
FOR MUCH OF THIS TIME. THE SNOW EVENT WILL BE IN PROGRESS OVER THE
AREA AT THE BEGINNING OF THIS EXTENDED PERIOD...TUES EVE...ALTHO
IT LOOKS LIKE THE MAJORITY OF THE SNOW MAY HAVE ALREADY FALLEN BY
THAT TIME. THIS UPPER SYS IS FAIRLY COMPLEX WITH A NUMBER OF
SHRTWV/VORT CENTERS ROTATING AROUND IT SO IT IS SMWHT DIFFICULT TO
SAY QUITE WHEN AND WHERE THE HEAVIER SNOW WILL FALL. OVERALL THIS
DOES NOT LOOK TO BE A MAJOR STORM WITH NO STRONG SFC LOW
DEVELOPMENT AND MAINLY JUST LIGHT OR MODERATE SNOW AT TIMES...AS
NOTED ABOVE. FOR TOTAL SNOW...MOST GUIDANCE INCLUDING WPC SEEMED
TO INDICATE A WEST-EAST BAND OF GREATER SNOWFALL ACROSS THE MIDDLE
OF OUR FCST AREA AND THAT IS REFLECTED IN OUR TOTAL SNOW GRID.
THE SNOW SHOULD HAVE MOSTLY ENDED BY EARLY WED MORNING...HOWEVER
THE UPPER TROF WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA DURING THE DAY ON WED SO
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL REMAIN A POSSIBILITY. THERE WILL BE
DECENT COLD ADVECTION BEHIND THE SYSTEM FROM LATE WEDNESDAY INTO
FRIDAY RESULTING IN TEMPS WELL BELOW NORMAL TOWARD THE END OF THE
WEEK. HOWEVER EVEN COLDER ARCTIC AIR WILL PUSH INTO THE AREA ON
SATURDAY WITH SOME OF THE COLDEST TEMPS OF THE WINTER EXPECTED AT
THAT TIME. THIS PERIOD IS EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY DRY HOWEVER THERE
COULD BE SNOW SHOWERS OR SQUALLS WITH THE ARCTIC FRONTAL PASSAGE
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
WINTER STORM WARNING AND WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN
ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA.
AS THE FIRST STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO PULL AWAY FROM
THE AREA TONIGHT, ANOTHER IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND STRENGTHEN OFF
THE COAST TONIGHT, WHICH WILL HELP LEAD TO AN ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL.
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS CURRENTLY LOCATED ACROSS THE EASTERN
GREAT LAKES REGION, WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING SOUTH TOWARD
THE GULF COAST. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG
THIS BOUNDARY OVERNIGHT, BEFORE MOVING OFFSHORE TOWARD DAYBREAK. THE
FRONT WILL WEAKEN AND STRETCH OUT INTO MORE OF A SURFACE TROUGH
OVERNIGHT. MEANWHILE, A COUPLE OF SHORT WAVE/VORTICITY IMPULSES WILL
SLIDE ACROSS THE AREA WITHIN THE SOUTHWEST FLOW. THE ASSOCIATED LIFT
FROM THE SURFACE TROUGH AND VORTICITY IMPULSES, COMBINED WITH
INCREASING MOISTURE IN THE DENDRITIC ZONE WILL LEAD TO DEVELOPING
SNOWFALL THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL IS
EXPECTED TO BE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA, SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY, AS WELL AS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL DELMARVA WHERE 1 TO 3 INCHES
COULD FALL THROUGH DAYBREAK.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/...
SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BE ONGOING AT THE START OF TUESDAY AS THE
SURFACE TROUGH WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS OUR AREA AS THE COASTAL
LOW CONTINUES TO LIFT TO THE NORTHEAST. THE COMBINED LIFT FROM THE
SURFACE TROUGH, ALONG WITH A STRONGER VORTICITY IMPULSE EXPECTED
DURING THE DAY, WILL CONTINUE TO COMBINE WITH ENHANCED MOISTURE IN
THE DENDRITIC ZONE AND IS EXPECTED TO LEAD TO A PERIOD OF ENHANCED
SNOWFALL DURING THE DAY ACROSS THE AREA. IT MAY NOT SNOW THE
ENTIRE TIME DURING THE DAY TUESDAY, BUT WHEN IT DOES SNOW, THERE
COULD BE A FEW HEAVIER PERIODS. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES COULD
FALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA. ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AREAS,
SNOWFALL COLD CHANGE OVER AND/OR MIX WITH RAIN AT TIMES DURING THE
DAY WHICH WOULD LIMIT THEIR ACCUMULATIONS DURING THE DAY.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
A DEEP UPPER TROF/LOW WILL MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD FROM THE MIDWEST
ACROSS THE NORTHEAST AND MID ATLANTIC REGIONS OVER THE NEXT 2-3
DAYS. THIS WILL RESULT IN PERIODS OF SNOW ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
FOR MUCH OF THIS TIME. THE SNOW EVENT WILL BE IN PROGRESS OVER THE
AREA AT THE BEGINNING OF THIS EXTENDED PERIOD...TUES EVE...ALTHO
IT LOOKS LIKE THE MAJORITY OF THE SNOW MAY HAVE ALREADY FALLEN BY
THAT TIME. THIS UPPER SYS IS FAIRLY COMPLEX WITH A NUMBER OF
SHRTWV/VORT CENTERS ROTATING AROUND IT SO IT IS SMWHT DIFFICULT TO
SAY QUITE WHEN AND WHERE THE HEAVIER SNOW WILL FALL. OVERALL THIS
DOES NOT LOOK TO BE A MAJOR STORM WITH NO STRONG SFC LOW
DEVELOPMENT AND MAINLY JUST LIGHT OR MODERATE SNOW AT TIMES...AS
NOTED ABOVE. FOR TOTAL SNOW...MOST GUIDANCE INCLUDING WPC SEEMED
TO INDICATE A WEST-EAST BAND OF GREATER SNOWFALL ACROSS THE MIDDLE
OF OUR FCST AREA AND THAT IS REFLECTED IN OUR TOTAL SNOW GRID.
THE SNOW SHOULD HAVE MOSTLY ENDED BY EARLY WED MORNING...HOWEVER
THE UPPER TROF WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA DURING THE DAY ON WED SO
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL REMAIN A POSSIBILITY. THERE WILL BE
DECENT COLD ADVECTION BEHIND THE SYSTEM FROM LATE WEDNESDAY INTO
FRIDAY RESULTING IN TEMPS WELL BELOW NORMAL TOWARD THE END OF THE
WEEK. HOWEVER EVEN COLDER ARCTIC AIR WILL PUSH INTO THE AREA ON
SATURDAY WITH SOME OF THE COLDEST TEMPS OF THE WINTER EXPECTED AT
THAT TIME. THIS PERIOD IS EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY DRY HOWEVER THERE
COULD BE SNOW SHOWERS OR SQUALLS WITH THE ARCTIC FRONTAL PASSAGE
The NOAA site has a picture of Brielle Rd in Manasquan on it's front page. Not the kind of notoriety I want.
Lee Goldberg didn't seem all that bullish on tomorrows snowfall at all and seems to think not until later tomorrow afternoon for the nyc metro area into NJ
WCTC said light snow overnight, maybe a coating or so and then tomorrow snow showers up to an inch and then tomorrow night is when we could see a period of steadier snows
Dan Zarrow....4-6 south jersey.....2-4 rest of state...snows Tuesday afternoon and through the evening
Looks like timeline being set that going to focus in on the late Tuesday afternoon period to evening for when our best shot at accumulating snows come
Dan Zarrow....4-6 south jersey.....2-4 rest of state...snows Tuesday afternoon and through the evening
Looks like timeline being set that going to focus in on the late Tuesday afternoon period to evening for when our best shot at accumulating snows come
Nick Gregory is just 1-2 north jersey down to northern somerset county and nyc
2-4 central jersey
4-7 south jersey
2-4 central jersey
4-7 south jersey
NOOOO!!!!!!!!! My wife's driving home from her mom's funeral in Charleston. She's in B'more now, hoping she'd be home by 8. I didn't even know we were expecting snow.
The big question is the inverted trough. That trough will dump several inches of snow but not sure where will it set up. Short term models are hinting towards a central NJ to NYC snowfall. So be prepared for scattered snow showers tomorrow with little accumulation. The inverted trough should get going around southern nj sometime tomorrow. Will it come up into our area tomorrow evening? That is what has to be watched. Tomorrow morning should be ok. It's a very narrow band of heavy snow so it's tricky.
We get very cold this weekend as lows get into the single digits.
We also have to watch for snow fri night into sat and then again next week.
We get very cold this weekend as lows get into the single digits.
We also have to watch for snow fri night into sat and then again next week.
