Weather for UM: seasonable (near 70F), but iffy on precip
- Thread starter RU848789
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So much for these meaningless weather threads. I love all the "experts" on here. Each time I end up having to go outside the day of to see what the deal is. lol. Have a nice day.
It is still predicted to loop around. The front is taking it's sweetass time clearing out of here, lifting & dumping all that tropical moisture along the way.
The way things are going, watch for the remnants to hit us again for Penn State in a few weeks.
The timing of the rain and amounts was certainly wrong. And no one called for any rain today
This thread wasnt about today..it was about yesterday and pinpointing rains between 2-8 yesterday which was spot on actually. No one can dispute the call for yesterday. Who cares about overnight and today
You love being wrong don't you? Forecast yesterday was for about 0.2" of rain from 2 pm to 10 pm and you know how much rain fell? 0.2 friggin' inches. And everyone was calling for more rain after midnight into the morning. Are you even capable of reading my posts and the links I provide or do you just like to act like a moron?
Four teenage girls were sitting behind me and one said the weatherman said the rain was supposed to stop at 6 and its still raining. I never knew weather guys had access to an on/ off switch
Wrong, current projections have it going straight out to sea. Actually, it's expected to go a little more north east.
The forecast for Matthew was unbelievably accurate within 3-4 days and very good within the 5-day limit of the forecast by the NHC. It was nearly perfect predicting the path through/over Cuba, Haiti and the Bahamas and it was very close on the track up the FL, GA, SC, and NC coasts. Intensity forecasts were good, except for the first couple of days, when it blew up from a TS to a cat 4 hurricane extraordinarily quickly, which is very unusual. And some of you are going to quibble over the forecast for when it doesn't matter after moving out to sea?
You enjoy bad weather more than most. I would call it more than a nuisance. I arrived on campus shortly after 1 PM and the first drops I saw were as I approached Campus Rd on Rt 18. Pretty much was at least a mist the rest of the day. At about 6 PM we noticed clearing to the west and hoped it would stop, Instead it rained the hardest as game time approached. In all not quite as bad as Penn State 2014 but it sure wasn't pleasant, everything about tailgating becomes more difficult. I have to think all told we got .25 inch. Pretty much we got the worse case scenario from the morning forecasts.
I really enjoy your posts and insight. Yes, the track projection was extremely accurate until last night. Please see my post again. I was referring only to the loop around and the storm circling around back to as far south as Florida.... and in the end, that did not even come close to happening. Sorry for making an observation.
Do you guys have any idea how hard weather forecasting is? We don't have good enough models or detailed enough data to make them work. We may never have good enough models given how complicated atmosphere dynamics are. I know that from my work on air pollution issues. A model that is accurate within a factor of two (e.g. a prediction of 10 could equally be 5 or 20) is about the best we can do.
My apologies - got a little touchy since several folks were making disparaging comments about some pretty good forecasts. Yes, the loop was badly forecast.
Lou - minor point, but I actually don't enjoy rain - only snow - I just am not really bothered by rain, although I've always realized I'm not normal on that count, as my tailgate crew reminds me, lol. I kept wanting to take the canopies down after about 5 pm, as there were only a few spritzes after that, but I was overruled. I like seeing the sky.
The best estimate of the rainfall is the 0.20" that fell in New Brunswick, since I didn't see any rainfall amounts reported for P'way, plus, the stadium is ~3 miles N/W of the NB weather station on Cook and all reports and radar estimations of rainfall showed less rain as one went N/W, in general (as per the reports of <0.1" in Hopewell and Hopelawn and no rain anywhere north of I-78). It's possible 1/4" fell at the stadium, but it's unlikely. Also, the worst case scenario for the tailgates and game, which I posted on yesterday morning, was up to 1/2" of rain and we got nowhere near that.
Ironically after all of this wasthe RAIN actually seemed to help RU. RU was hanging with Michigan until the MINUTE it stopped raining.
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