People from both sides just cannot contain themselves from bringing political bullshit into every single thing.
Ian just made its 3rd landfall as an 85 mph hurricane, coming ashore about 2 pm in Georgetown, SC, about 50 miles NE of Charleston, as forecast last night at 11 pm. As discussed last night, being to the left of the track is sparing Charleston the worst of the surge, with winds being offshore mostly coming out of the N or NE, while areas near landfall and NE of there (to the right of the track, they're seeing 3-5/4-7 feet of surge, which will cause considerable flooding/damage (not widespread catastrophic like SW FL, but still impactful - and certainly "catastrophic" if your house is the one destroyed). Winds will cause some damage, but not catastrophic and there will be some rain-driven flooding in large parts of SC/NC. Could also be the usual isolated tornadoes to the right (NE) of the track.Ian regained hurricane status at 5 pm with 75 mph winds and they're now up to 85 mph, as the storm is moving towards landfall along the SC coast in about 18 hours, when the forecast calls for an 85 mph hurricane (it's not expected to strengthen much at all due to shear). As we've seen all along for Ian, the actual track keeps being a bit south or east of the forecast track and that is continuing, as landfall is now forecast to be about 50 miles NE of Charleston, as opposed to being very close to Charleston 12 hours ago.
That is a significant relief for Charleston, if it verifies, as it now ought to mostly experience offshore winds as Ian approaches, which should limit surge. However, the surge forecasts weren't decreased yet, as I'm guessing the NHC doesn't want to have people there let their guard down, since the track could shift back closer to Charleston. But surges in NE SC and SW NC could easily be in the 4-7' predicted - likely not catastrophic, except for low-lying areas.
As Ian moves inland, the winds will not die down that quickly, partly because Ian has become a bit of a hybrid storm based on interactions with the stalled frontal system in the SE US (which runs up to our area), so it's not deriving all of its energy from ocean water evaporation (getting some from baroclinic sources, i.e., the gradient from warm to cold air masses, as we see with most lows in our area, including nor'easters). Hence TS force winds are expected a couple of hundred miles inland in SC and NC, as well as heavy rains with 4-8" forecast.
For our area, the main issue is just the rain from a combination of Ian's remnants (which will dissipate in western VA) and that stalled front which extends up to our area. We could get 2-4" along the coast and in SNJ/DE and 1-2" along the 95 corridor, but much less well NW - and we can use the rain, which will mostly fall on Saturday into Sunday.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?start#contents
yeah HH should be fine - they're getting hammered on the right side of the track with major surge flooding in Garden City SC up through Myrtle Beach.
Myrtle Beach, huh? I sure hope the Doll House is okay.
I've told you repeatedly to not insult @mildone... 😄
Can you please clean the shit out of this theead? People come here for updates on the storm and have to wade through nonsense from the usual idiots who can't control themselves. Shame.
A tiny bit south of Carolina Beach right on the intercostal
Will see you on Marco Island in February. Happy to be visiting for first time in a long time!
We’ve been going to Key West and Siesta Key the last few winters and going back to both for a few weeks in February but have been wanting to try Marco Island as I hear so much good stuff. Do you rent or hotel?
If it materializes check out the new thread for that particular event/storm as this one will be over and done with. 🙂
Yes, from here on out, there would be a new thread for any storms that might impact land, especially in the US. This one will remain for general tropical activity and Ian...
Have you outfitted @MrsScrew 's vehicle to exit the Blue Lot?
Would be a kick in the nuts if the storm was named John (McNulty) or Sean (too far down the list). Best of luck- sucks having vacation plans ruined by weather.
It will turn to snow soon enough. At least in Metuchen, right?
Gonna get her a ride on Schiano's Helo.Have you outfitted @MrsScrew 's vehicle to exit the Blue Lot?
You should buy one of these for the Mrs.
