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OT: Major Winter Storm for Philly-NJ-NYC Area (12-24" very likely) for late Sun (1/31) into Tues (2/2)

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Must be coming down big time in Allentown PA. Visibility 0,0 for awhile! They are going to get crushed when this is all done.
 
OMFG, look at this radar snapshot from 10 am - that's 40-45DBZ over my house and insane rates over Somerset County. Some of the heaviest snow I've ever seen for the past 15-20 minutes. @bac2therac - you must be getting crushed right now. Cha-ching eh? Stay safe on the roads...

Was at 8.5" at 7 am, then 8.75" at 8 am (not much that hour), but then up to 9.5" at 9 am and ~10" at 10 am (getting hard to measure) and at the rate it's been falling since 10 am, I'm guessing we'll have close to 12" by 11 am. Shoveling (2nd shovel - my son shoveled at 10 pm after about 4") took me from about an hour. Hard work, but so nice being outside in it. Walked around a bit afterwards taking my measurements and just enjoying it. Had some friends who had to drive to work and they said it was an "adventure" - not horrible on the highways, but treacherous on the secondary roads.

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Just went for a walk in that insane snowfall and measured about 12" (tough with the blowing - 12" is the average of about 10 measurements in the back yard, which varied from about 10" to 14" - 2 are on my board, but the board becomes less useful with the wind). That would make about 2" in the last hour, which seems about right given how heavily the snow was falling for that last hour. Since about 11 am, the intensity has dropped off a bit to moderate snowfall (probably 1" per hour stuff).
 
Just went for a walk in that insane snowfall and measured about 12" (tough with the blowing - 12" is the average of about 10 measurements in the back yard, which varied from about 10" to 14" - 2 are on my board, but the board becomes less useful with the wind). That would make about 2" in the last hour, which seems about right given how heavily the snow was falling for that last hour. Since about 11 am, the intensity has dropped off a bit to moderate snowfall (probably 1" per hour stuff).
Damn . What do you think you will wind up with by tonight and end of storm
 
Just went out to shovel.
About 8" on Union/Morris border - just north of 78.

Very light and fairly easy to move.
Sounds like you live near me, I'm in NP. My driveway is the snow capital of Union County and I'm always on the snow side of the snow/rain line.
 
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14" in Raritan as of 11AM. Picked up 3.5" in ONE HOUR between 10 and 11. This death band is probably the heaviest multi-hr duration snow I've ever witnessed. We had 7.5" at 8AM.

S+, very little sleet now maybe 10% or less. Visibility 1/8 mile.

Just mesmerizing to watch.
 
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Has anybody been out on the roads? Wondering what shape they’re in in Central Jersey.
I planned on making mac & cheese and realized this morning that I forgot to get breadcrumbs, which are a necessity for good mac & cheese. ShopRite is probably a mile and a half away.
 
Has anybody been out on the roads? Wondering what shape they’re in in Central Jersey.
I planned on making mac & cheese and realized this morning that I forgot to get breadcrumbs, which are a necessity for good mac & cheese. ShopRite is probably a mile and a half away.


Along the I-78 corridor and somerset county are completely impassable
 
NWS:

[1130 AM] Wondering why you are getting sleet instead of snow? Remember, sleet is just snow that has melted and refrozen before it reaches the surface. We are forecasting the sleet to transition back over to snow, because the shallow warm layer is forecast to retreat southeast. Take a look. One of the ways we track the shallow warm layer aloft is by drawing maps of the atmosphere at different levels. Here is a map from 850 MB (or around 5000 ft up in the atmosphere). The purple line denoted on the map is the freezing line. Note how it extends north into NJ and PA. We are forecasting the low over VA/ NC to move east-northeast and strengthen allowing the freezing line at 850 MB to move southeast. This means a transition back over to snow is expected!

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I was out at 7am Rt 206 from Hillsborough to Somerville was blacktop, Just saw on News 12. 12 Manville 11 Somerville
 
Berkeley NJ about 3 inches last night, all rain and sleet so far today. Wouldn’t say it’s a bust for us, forecast was really all over the place. Some had us at 8-12+ others 3-6. Can’t really say I’m surprised though that my area is under performing.
 
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Send some of that down to Hamilton
Hamilton getting the whole shaft. If it isn't the dry slot holding down accumulating snow, we're getting a frozen mix that compacts everything down. Been hearing from colleagues across the state all morning about how they're buried in up to the top of their stoop, drifts to the tops of tabletops, etc. Getting snakeyes down in New Trentonia
 
Has anybody been out on the roads? Wondering what shape they’re in in Central Jersey.
I planned on making mac & cheese and realized this morning that I forgot to get breadcrumbs, which are a necessity for good mac & cheese. ShopRite is probably a mile and a half away.
1 1/2 miles would be a walk in the park for a youngster . Show your youth and go for it . The bread crumbs are waiting .
 
the sound of sleet against the window has lessened...are we moving back to straight up snow now?

its still pounding down like all get out
 
He was talking about a fall line between the coastal plain areas which you find from 1-95 that runs from Philly to the coast. As you got west and north of I-95, it's piedmont region where the topography gets more rugged - hills to mountains. And sure enough, you'll see most forecasters talk about that I-95 line that runs through SE PA and then into Central Jersey as a dividing line in forecasts.

I was referring to the SJ suburbs of PA which are the ones we were discussing they forecasters always getting wrong. The only topology I'm aware of down there is elevation between 100 ft. above sea level and the coast, and the Delaware river. Not sure what topo between Philly and the coast in S/C NJ affects the weather.
 
Has anybody been out on the roads? Wondering what shape they’re in in Central Jersey.
I planned on making mac & cheese and realized this morning that I forgot to get breadcrumbs, which are a necessity for good mac & cheese. ShopRite is probably a mile and a half away.
I made baked 3 cheese Mac last night. Loaded with bread crumbs (only on half.. my daughter doesn't like them) Comfort food is the best on a snowy day. Eat, nap..repeat!
 
1 1/2 miles would be a walk in the park for a youngster . Show your youth and go for it . The bread crumbs are waiting .
I’d consider walking that distance for 1 of the imaginary hotties from the Hillsboro Deli, but panko
bread crumbs don’t have the same allure. I’m not that young & am due to start physical therapy on Wednesday
 
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This next band is now projectile vomting dendrites in my back yard, lol...going to skip the noon measurement, since I need a shower and am still wet from shoveling and measuring and walking around, lol...
 
Jeff Smith 13.6 Bridgewater was snowing 3 inches/hr the last 2 hrs
Manville 13
Somerville 11
 
Having a little trouble with the new NHS radar on my phone...is green rain and the gray snow?

Or do I have it backwards?

Peeking out the window right now it looks like rain. But the radar says I’m right on the line.
 
Sounds like you live near me, I'm in NP. My driveway is the snow capital of Union County and I'm always on the snow side of the snow/rain line.

Glad I moved out of NP 18 months ago for that reason alone!
 
Hamilton getting the whole shaft. If it isn't the dry slot holding down accumulating snow, we're getting a frozen mix that compacts everything down. Been hearing from colleagues across the state all morning about how they're buried in up to the top of their stoop, drifts to the tops of tabletops, etc. Getting snakeyes down in New Trentonia
Yeah, have friends down there - it's surprising, but should change to snow. Also, while it's not as pretty, it's just as impactful as snow with regard to total frozen mass and what that means for snow removal/driving (not a visibility issue, though).
 
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