OT: Major Winter Storm for Philly-NJ-NYC Area (12-24" very likely) for late Sun (1/31) into Tues (2/2)
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It's almost like mathematical models don't actually predict the future.
And the wind makes it crazy. There isn't a single car on my block that has snow on it except for the passenger side windows.
He was talking about a fall line between the coastal plain areas which you find from 1-95 that runs from Philly to the coast. As you got west and north of I-95, it's piedmont region where the topography gets more rugged - hills to mountains. And sure enough, you'll see most forecasters talk about that I-95 line that runs through SE PA and then into Central Jersey as a dividing line in forecasts.
Easily over 8" here in Bergen and snowing hard. After some meetings I will need to get out there with the blower. Sounds like at least 15" around here.
People are lumping all of SJ together. There's a big difference between the Philadelphia area and areas closer to the shore. The areas closer to the shore were never supposed to get much, because of rain. But every forcast for the Philly area was for 10+. snow last night, couple hours of rain this morning, then back to heavy snow. It's apparent we likely won't get half of that forcaster 10 inches.
The problem is, this is the same story over and over and over again. They blow it every time. Its infuriating
The problem is, this is the same story over and over and over again. They blow it every time. Its infuriating
I forecast 8-14 for you. I think you get there on the back end. You'll probably pick up an inch of sleet by 2-3pm, and then snow will mix back in.
I'll take that. I just want to use my Ariens............. it hasn't gotten much use the last few years. LOL.
"But what about Philly! BUST!"
People on this board generally focus on their relatively small backyards and ignore anything outside their narrow focus. Saying the forecast is a bust because Philly is going to miss the range is like saying we lost the game last night because Caleb McConnell only scored 2 points.
No forecast is going to be be 100% correct in every locality - that doesn't mean the forecast itself is a bust.
Oh man, I just looked up what an Ariens is.... I think I would have driven 50 miles north to some empty lot if I were you, just to guarantee getting to play with it!
Hard to tell unless you were out measuring late into the night. Just eyeballing it Id say 4-5" by the beach in Squan.
Rain and sleet mess in Belmar one block off the ocean. The ocean is churning with the winds.
That's the actual radar site. It has a blind spot directly above because of the beam angle.
I think that's the radar itself. It can't capture the areas directly next to. Someone correct me if I'm wrong
I didn't write PHIILY, BUST, Again have no clue who you are talking about but it is certainly not me. The closest word I used to "bust" was whiffed and I didn't capitalize it either. My numbers aren't from my back yard but from NWS observers. Point Breeze section of South Philly posted 1,9in. Less than a mile from me. Again you are clueless. Most of us here are talking about a region not a locality, From Philly to the Jersey shore. BTW Rutgers won last night.
I think I’m getting lucky here in Lambertville. Maybe 4 inches on the ground and not getting this 1”+ per hour numbers others are talking about. Was originally thinking this was going to be a storm where I would need to do 2-3 passes with the snowblower....now I’m hoping I can get away with just one when it’s all over.
Just came in from shoveling in North Brunswick it has been sleeting the last hour and a half with some snow mixed in
Just taking a break here in Pway. Arians going through 20” drifts and throwing it 50+ feet (wind-aided, I’ll add).
Maybe tomorrow we'll wake up on Groundhog Day with no snow on the ground.
After an hour of heavy sleet in South Brunswick, its now all steady snow. Unofficial snow total about 9 plus.
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