Lots of Napoleon complex showing up in every weather thread RU# posts in!
OT: Major Winter Storm for Philly-NJ-NYC Area (12-24" very likely) for late Sun (1/31) into Tues (2/2)
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You continue to not understand the point of models outside of ~3 days - the point is to see if there is a real and synoptically reasonable evolution of the weather over 5 days that will possibly to likely lead to a significant (or more) winter storm. Anyone who is looking for the models to be "right" ~5 days out is clueless with zero understanding of the high uncertainty inherent in meteorology and numerical weather predictions that far out.
I said all of this in the first post in the thread, which was based on the model runs (Weds 7 am) 4.5 days before the start of the event. That's also why I refused to post models until we were about 3 days out (Thursday evening's runs) and even then I was hesitant - the only reason I did was that the model consensus on at least a major snowstorm for most was unusually high and the impact of such an event would be unusually large if realized.
Any 4X4 truck can handle a foot of snow. Now some car based SUV might not be able to but that's not really a truck. It's a big tall car.
Easily! It’s one of the few times this thing is actually practical. That and hauling all my kids crap around from hockey rink to hockey rink and up to Vermont for ski trips.
Then why mention amounts at all
Oh and the euro at one time had this storm way east and barely anything north of 95 so lets not say how great it was
In fact models last night were giving me 5 inches for last night and today where less than an inch of new snow fell...
If we didn't get a foot plus yesterday i remember times when models spitting out 4-7 inches and not delivering would be critcized
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Where else can you get 5 paragraphs on the correct way to measure snow accumulation?
When your colleagues come to you for weather updates, after you've told them numerous times about "these weather nerds on the Rutgers Football message forum" that do a great job breaking thing
When your colleagues come to you for weather updates, after you've told them numerous times about "these weather nerds on the Rutgers Football message forum" that do a great job breaking things down, you know you've ARRIVED!
When your colleagues come to you for weather updates, after you've told them numerous times about "these weather nerds on the Rutgers Football message forum" that do a great job breaking things down, you know you've ARRIVED!
I've considered that. The problem is that some of those who are total jerks on weather threads are actually valuable posters on sports-related topics.
There are no forecasts on this thread; it's just information about what the models are showing. And I take the information with a big grain of salt because I know enough about modelling to know it's not very good. (In the air quality world, a model that comes within a factor of two is considered very reliable!) The problem is that we don't understand the atmosphere very well, and we're usually missing important empirical info we need as inputs to the model. Basically, I rely on NWS and the Channel 10 news in Philadelphia. It's close enough for my purposes. And I keep in mind that, being in Cherry Hill, the predictions can be off because we're closer to the ocean that the vast majority of the Philly area, and that the prediction of the rain-snow line can be way off.
I think just about everyone understands that these threads are mostly for fun, so there' s no need for you to carp all the time. Your constant attempts to bicker make a thread like this less fun, not more fun.
Sometimes I think you just like to bust his balls for no real reason.
I mean, he posted last week that models were showing a good possibility of a major snowstorm in our area. Later in the week, he started posting models showing a potentially historic storm.
We got a major (and depending on where you live, historic) snowstorm. Period.
So what are you even debating at this point?
Yep, picked up the better half from Willowbrook around 9:15 - roads were nasty, Hamburg Tpk, Valley Rd., etc.
Nj.com is reporting that 35 inches may have fallen in Mt.Arlington.
What is not explored is that people do not live on top of each other in Mt.Arlington as do in say Hudson County.10 inches in any one of those towns is as bad as is the aforementioned 35 incher in sprawl land.
What is not explored is that people do not live on top of each other in Mt.Arlington as do in say Hudson County.10 inches in any one of those towns is as bad as is the aforementioned 35 incher in sprawl land.
He's debating over a couple of inches in a major storm. Like predicting Rutgers will win by 15, and arguing when it only turns out to be 12.
This is getting crazy. I woke up to another snowstorm this morning in Princeton. It’s like winter wonderland outside but yet Dumb and Dumber T2K and BAC probably still have you believe that this storm is a bust. CLOWNS
Not to mention all the poor souls who may pass due to not getting their vaccines. "If only it could save 1 life".
But according to your brother these roads are perfectly safe ... not even in the top 10 of storms. My sister in law is a nurse. She lives in EB and tried to get to work this morning after being off the last 2 days gets stuck on a uphill road that wasn’t plowed in East Brunswick. Now getting a tow truck to get out.
BTW... accurate snow totals are vital for snow removal pricing. Three inch discrepancy could mean a difference of charging more $$$$$. So yea if big difference in saying you got 15 and another says 12.
Yea the roads are clear but how long did it take to dig out your car and remove the giant mountain in front of your driveway????? Not to mention the places that cancelled the vaccinations.
Political. Post doesn’t belong here. Get a grip buddy and know where you are posting.
For 2 guys that run a snow removal business, you would think you would want it to snow more not less. CLOWNS
Not saying we don't want snow. Don't want to hear folks rooting for 2 feet of snow one day and then complaining vaccines aren't being distributed. Name calling. Violation of rules.
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Who said it was a bust. You are a liar as usual.
Roads have been excellent in Hillsborough/Belle Mead area since 10am yeaterday. Thats truth not something some troll like you is making up. We are just speaking for our area. Bravo to the workers in Montgomery and Hillsborough for being on top of this storm. Thank you Weatherworks
Meanwhile Rock makes a good point..vaccinations and testing were cancelled
It has to be a PITA job but nice to have the last couple days after the overall lack of snow the last couple years.
You'd be surprised. A couple years ago there was a "scandal" in the state's climatology department where Newark Airport was caught intentionally lowballing their official measurements in order to get a lower snow removal bill.
Good to see the NY/NJ Port Authority wiseguys are still looking for ways to bilk the system.
It was snowing lightly in NP this morning when I went out to walk the dog and I was like, are you kidding me? This storm is an unwelcome house guest that refuses to leave. All that aside, county/main roads were pretty good heading into work. Side roads pretty bad in my town- but that's to be expected with all the cars parked on them.
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