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Kind of out of the pattern, although some of today's models are now showing measurable snow (1-2") along 95 on Monday with 2-4" NW of 95 and especially N of 78, although some are showing only decent snow NW of 95 and N of 78. Models had been showing just rain for most with snow well N/W of 95 a couple of days ago, but now it's a close call.Are we officially over this snow cycle we’ve been stuck in over the past few weeks?
Because God hates snow-haters. Do you want to go with that or a page of a dense explanation? 😉 😉 😉Wtf. Why is it still snowing?
How far apart do you live? It's easy for these "thin" bands to have very different precip intensity even just 3-5 miles away. This morning's snow barely touched folks 5 miles NW of me.Um no. over 1 hr.
I actually like snow. Just not too much😀 This is way too much.Because God hates snow-haters. Do you want to go with that or a page of a dense explanation? 😉 😉 😉
Where do you live? This 1" today brought me to 41" for the season, way above the ~27" NB/NYC (they're very close) average for a season, and brings 50" into possible range, like 2014-15 and 2017-18 (both had exactly 50.8"), if we get a snowier than normal March (~6" normally). And if we just happened to get a 2017-18 March (27"), we'd have the 2nd most snow ever (at least for the last 150 years) for NB/NYC. NYC's 2nd most ever was 63" in 47-48; 95-96 was #1 with 75.6".I actually like snow. Just not too much😀 This is way too much.
in Summit. Still coming down.Where do you live? This 1" today brought me to 41" for the season, way above the ~27" NB/NYC (they're very close) average for a season, and brings 50" into possible range, like 2014-15 and 2017-18 (both had exactly 50.8"), if we get a snowier than normal March (~6" normally). And if we just happened to get a 2017-18 March (27"), we'd have the 2nd most snow ever (at least for the last 150 years) for NB/NYC. NYC's 2nd most ever was 63" in 47-48; 95-96 was #1 with 75.6".
Yeah, you probably have 50" up at 400' eleveation and inland.in Summit. Still coming down.
Yeah, you probably have 50" up at 400' eleveation and inland.
By the way, one last band of accumulating snow is about to hit much of CNJ (and my house) - some could get a quick 1/2-1" from this.
Not to nitpick, but it’s actually the Rac bros. Not the Bac bros.The bac brothers bickering:
Yeah, you probably have 50" up at 400' eleveation and inland.
By the way, one last band of accumulating snow is about to hit much of CNJ (and my house) - some could get a quick 1/2-1" from this.
Where do you go to find the totals for each town/city?Where do you live? This 1" today brought me to 41" for the season, way above the ~27" NB/NYC (they're very close) average for a season, and brings 50" into possible range, like 2014-15 and 2017-18 (both had exactly 50.8"), if we get a snowier than normal March (~6" normally). And if we just happened to get a 2017-18 March (27"), we'd have the 2nd most snow ever (at least for the last 150 years) for NB/NYC. NYC's 2nd most ever was 63" in 47-48; 95-96 was #1 with 75.6".
How far apart do you live? It's easy for these "thin" bands to have very different precip intensity even just 3-5 miles away. This morning's snow barely touched folks 5 miles NW of me.
Holy crap, I stayed outside for almost all of this last band, as it was just stunningly gorgeous - not to get maudlin about it, but at my age you never know when it'll be your last storm, lol. Not the heaviest snow I've ever seen, visibility/intensity-wise, but some of the most beautiful, feathery, cotton-candiest dendrites I've ever seen, with most 1/2-3/4" across and some even up to 1" across and they nestled so pefectly together on top of the snow and whitened up every surface including all the trees (and paved surfaces, so be careful, although it only took 5 minutes to broom it away).That band ended up moving more west to east than SW to NE, so we only got maybe 10-15 min of moderate snow - picked up another 1/4" though, so we're at 1.25" today and 5.25" for the "event" (assuming it's all one event). One last band about to move through - maybe another 1/4" at most, especially now that the sun is down. Snow should be over in NJ within the next hour or so.
Not sure if this is what you looking for NWS Winter WeatherWhere do you go to find the totals for each town/city?
I meant totals for the whole winter, not just for any one storm.Not sure if this is what you looking for NWS Winter Weather
I meant totals for the whole winter, not just for any one storm.
Thanks!For each NWS office (there are dozens), there are usually 7-10 locations of record, for which each office keeps seasonal data, including snowfall to date for the season (which starts on July 1st) vs. normal snowfall to that date for the season. Maybe someone out there aggregates these data, but I haven't seen it and have asked people who would know - meaning one has to find the info one city at a time. Go to the link below (for NWS-Philly - every office has a page like this), click on the "observed weather" tab, then select the "daily climate report" radio button, then click on the desired location/city (for the NWS-Philly, there are 8 choices), then click "go" and you'll get a report like this:
https://w2.weather.gov/climate/index.php?wfo=phi
I suppose this might impact my tentative plan to take a long drive on Wednesday. The temps will be slightly over 45 down here, which I need, but right around 45 to our Northwest, where there will likely be a lot of wet pavement from melting snow. Too close for comfort, I guess.Chance of accumulating snow tomorrow morning/afternoon, especially well NW of 95 and N of 78. Probably an inch or less for the 95 corridor with temps warming above 32F and the indirect late Feb sun. Will start a thread, since we have quite a few folks on this board who live in the areas above who might not know they likely have a few inches of snow coming tomorrow.
If you want dry conditions to the NW, you might need to wait until April, lol - there's 3" of liquid equivalent in the snowpack there (~30" worth of snow) that will take at least a couple of weeks to melt at projected temps.I suppose this might impact my tentative plan to take a long drive on Wednesday. The temps will be slightly over 45 down here, which I need, but right around 45 to our Northwest, where there will likely be a lot of wet pavement from melting snow. Too close for comfort, I guess.
Crap. 😡
Now showing as high as 49F in Long Valley on Wed. That is warm enough to not be as concerned about wet roads, long as there’s no ice/snow on them by around noon.If you want dry conditions to the NW, you might need to wait until April, lol - there's 3" of liquid equivalent in the snowpack there (~30" worth of snow) that will take at least a couple of weeks to melt at projected temps.
Serious question for you. You clearly think it's silly to post weather threads more than a few days in advance, due to the higher uncertainty further out, even though sometimes models can do decently even 5-6 days out, especially for a major winter storm. And as we get closer to the event, you tend to trash the models as being horrible when that forecast changes instead of realizing that it's an imperfect science and the situation can change.really???? after 3 of 4 busts for you...you touted Tuesday well in advance and omg most did not get one drop of frozen
Ok, I thought you didn't want to be on wet roads at all; if it's icy you're worried about, you could probably drive on any roads in the area after about 11 am or so, as any ice would melt by then.Now showing as high as 49F in Long Valley on Wed. That is warm enough to not be as concerned about wet roads, long as there’s no ice/snow on them by around noon.
Serious question for you. You clearly think it's silly to post weather threads more than a few days in advance, due to the higher uncertainty further out, even though sometimes models can do decently even 5-6 days out, especially for a major winter storm. And as we get closer to the event, you tend to trash the models as being horrible when that forecast changes instead of realizing that it's an imperfect science and the situation can change.
Given that, why in the hell do you do your bracketology threads? Clearly, they're not particularly accurate too far in advance, as not enough is known yet. And the analysis/predictions keep changing as we learn more info, as we get closer to the event, but that's ok in bracketology, but not in meteorology.
Given how similar weather forecasting and NCAA tournament forecasting are, why do you get so ornery in the weather threads at times? Would you appreciate it if I called "bust" on all the predictions that end up being wrong, especially from the early bracketology posts and even called your final predictions "busts" because you got a few wrong, even though you do a great job with the vast majority of your picks?
Seems kind of petty when one looks at it this way, at least to me, especially when the nitpicking and trolling simply derail the threads and make them less useful and enjoyable. I could make the bracketology threads miserable for you and everyone else, but I won't, as I actually enjoy them. I just wish you'd show the same respect for these threads - and that doesn't mean not challenging a forecast or pointing out where it went wrong afterwards, as that's completely fair game, but it means not making posts like a few on the first page of this thread and other threads and keeping it to the kind of posts you had from page 2 on, which were helpful to the thread. T is beyond hope, but I'm hoping you'll consider it. Thanks.
And by the way, I've only started two winter weather threads more than 3 days in advance this winter and both (12/16 and 2/1, both started about 5 days in advance, due to unusually strong consensus on a major winter storm that far out) panned out pretty well from a big picture perspective of getting pretty significant winter storms for just about everyone.
It’s any kind of wetness if temps get below 40. It all depends on the temps.Ok, I thought you didn't want to be on wet roads at all; if it's icy you're worried about, you could probably drive on any roads in the area after about 11 am or so, as any ice would melt by then.
Their performance goes downhill the moment it does get wet.I didn’t swap on my winter tires this winter, so I’m still on summer high performance tires. As great as they are in warm weather, their performance goes downhill fast starting at 45 on down.