I love these threads . The emotional swings of 12 year old girls
Great analogy...Rutgers game is on at 6PM. I have 2 choices. I can watch the game or not watch the game. I know that from 6:00-6:20PM what I see has some predictive value on who will win the game, but at 6:20PM I probably still won't know who is going to win the game. I choose to watch the game at 6:00PM anyhow.
EDIT: Full disclosure I will probably DVR the game and watch golf and then when that ends start watching RU.
TrueOver the last few winters, it’s become pretty clear to me that:
- Talking about possible storms more than 2-3 days out is pretty pointless for any meaningful planning purposes.
- With few exceptions, the models are all pretty inaccurate vs actual end results more than 1-2 days out.
- NWS Mt Holly forecasting for central NJ sucks and is constantly changing before and even after the storm starts - so, beyond alerting us that “it might snow”, is not very accurate.
Nailed itOver the last few winters, it’s become pretty clear to me that:
- Talking about possible storms more than 2-3 days out is pretty pointless for any meaningful planning purposes.
- With few exceptions, the models are all pretty inaccurate vs actual end results more than 1-2 days out.
- NWS Mt Holly forecasting for central NJ sucks and is constantly changing before and even after the storm starts - so, beyond alerting us that “it might snow”, is not very accurate.
I liked your post, and I like the actual weather aspect of these threads, but I hate the bitching that goes on in them.I love these threads . The emotional swings of 12 year old girls
Can you assholes that bitch and moan and complain and cry wah wah wah over someone’s posts about the weather just stay the F*ck off the chain and not read it if you are so bothered by RU84’s weather posts?
Not at all, it's just weather. I love snow and for me this has already been a good winter with 12 measurable, albeit mostly small snowfalls adding up to 16" of snow, so plenty of fun tracking and gorgeous little snowfalls and getting to walk and play in the snow. Sure, I'd love to get a big storm, but if it doesn't happen, I'll survive fine - kind of like being an RU fan.Are you in mourning?j/k![]()
Agree but until today we really haven't had a lot of measurable precipitation. Add in a brutal freeze week and seemingly endless under average temps.I like the balance that is brought about by the opposing opinions. On another note, is it just me or has this been one of the dreariest winters in recent memory?
The schedule says the game is at 7pm. Did that change?Rutgers game is on at 6PM. I have 2 choices. I can watch the game or not watch the game. I know that from 6:00-6:20PM what I see has some predictive value on who will win the game, but at 6:20PM I probably still won't know who is going to win the game. I choose to watch the game at 6:00PM anyhow.
EDIT: Full disclosure I will probably DVR the game and watch golf and then when that ends start watching RU.
Awful winter, very cold and yet barely any meaningful snow events for the kids.I like the balance that is brought about by the opposing opinions. On another note, is it just me or has this been one of the dreariest winters in recent memory?
It’s going to get worse due to funding cutsThat's the whole point...modeling is bad but perhaps forecasting even worse and Mt holly perpetually OVERDOING amounts for central jersey
A reminder that forecasted amounts always inflated to cover their bases
Needs to be colder. Freeze the Ponds!!!!Awful winter, very cold and yet barely any meaningful snow events for the kids.
If you base your decision on whether to open or close your medical office by reading threads on snow 4 or 5 days out you would have most of the winter closed due to Doom forecasts. I hope who does the scheduling doesn't call patients to tell them you will be closing next weekFull disclosure, I am a snow lover as well. But living east of the parkway and closer to the coast, we often get more rain than snow. These threads are helpful to decide whether or not we are going to close my medical office. So maybe the majority views some of these events as "busts", but some of us have an interest.
Wait a minute I've seen you in those get off my lawn memesCan you assholes that bitch and moan and complain and cry wah wah wah over someone’s posts about the weather just stay the F*ck off the chain and not read it if you are so bothered by RU84’s weather posts?
Thanks. I wont have to DVR. Golf should be over but thenThe schedule says the game is at 7pm. Did that change?
The good old days! You could drive on the ponds. :)Needs to be colder. Freeze the Ponds!!!!
THISWhy do you all get so pissed by weather posts? Just read them if you like and make your own minds up. I don't get the jealousy or rancor with weather posts. Unless there is some back story rivalry, just read or ignore. This board seems to fight over every thread posted, be it sports, politics or weather!
Back to the weather. So far, the 12Z models look worse for snow lovers; won't post any thoughts/analysis until we see the whole suite. In the order they come out (will update this post)...
- The 12Z ICON shows a couple of inches for Cape May and the DelMarVa and that's it - big move SE relative to 6Z
- The 12Z GFS ticked a little bit SE with the snow, now showing 1-2" for 95 and 4-6" at the coast
- The 12Z CMC ticked a bit SE and now shows a complete miss for everyone
- The 12Z UK ticked a bit SE and shows a minor event for far SENJ and that's it
- And the 12Z Euro ticked SE a bit with 4-7" along 95, less NW and up to 12" at the coast. It's the only current model that still has substantial snow for the 95 corridor.
- The CMC ensemble mean shows only a couple of inches for SENJ, while the GFS ensembles show a few inches for most and a bit more for coastal areas.
- Finally, the Euro-AIFS moved back SE significantly only bringing minor snow to 95 and a few inches towards the coast.
I know you're kidding, but the ironic thing is that this will be the first D/J/F all colder than normal in a long time, plus it's going to be plenty cold for this storm (teens/20s), but the snows just haven't quite come for the NE urban corridor (outside of DC) or our area this year - got pretty unlucky that a few storms that looked good 4-5 days out didn't materialize at all or just barely. It's been a Mid-Atlantic winter for snow.Needs to be colder. Freeze the Ponds!!!!
They get off to it. Pathetic childish behavior from a bunch of grown men.Good luck. Many of us have made this same , exceedingly reasonable, suggestion for years now.
They like to fight over this crap.
Its ridiculous annoying and childish
But they will never stop
No, but we keep an eye on it. We don't need post op people who use crutches and walkers and have balance deficits have to make the decision whether or not to come in, so we will reschedule them ahead of time if needed.If you base your decision on whether to open or close your medical office by reading threads on snow 4 or 5 days out you would have most of the winter closed due to Doom forecasts. I hope who does the scheduling doesn't call patients to tell them you will be closing next week
Hope springs eternal in NJ, a three season stateOnto next winter.
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Maybe the Red Panda can read the results of the NAM model while on her unicycleThe weather threads are the best !
They’re extremely informative yet humorous !
Since RU is cutting back costs on halftime entertainment - maybe it ll consider a Weather Snow storm Roundtable Battle Royale !
We had one entertainer this year The frisbee dogs. Well we have 2 games left. Will Red Panda make an appearance? Maybe Harper and Bailey can funnel some NIL to herMaybe the Red Panda can read the results of the NAM model while on her unicycle
Lol. Oh man that was funny !Maybe the Red Panda can read the results of the NAM model while on her unicycle
Sounds like my business trip to NJ and into Bucks County later this week will be uneventful. GoodAnd I'm flying out of Newark to go on vacation late Wednesday night. Changed from mid day Thursday
Nope, not kidding.I know you're kidding, but the ironic thing is that this will be the first D/J/F all colder than normal in a long time, plus it's going to be plenty cold for this storm (teens/20s), but the snows just haven't quite come for the NE urban corridor (outside of DC) or our area this year - got pretty unlucky that a few storms that looked good 4-5 days out didn't materialize at all or just barely. It's been a Mid-Atlantic winter for snow.
SK.com, CBS Sports and Rutgers app all say 7pmSeriously what time is game tonight. Was 6pm. Now i see 7
I’ve talked about the third bullet with some of my RU meteorology professors over the years and there is consensus that Mt Holly’s forecast quality has markedly declined since around 2013. They have a less than stellar reputation among other NWS offices.Over the last few winters, it’s become pretty clear to me that:
- Talking about possible storms more than 2-3 days out is pretty pointless for any meaningful planning purposes.
- With few exceptions, the models are all pretty inaccurate vs actual end results more than 1-2 days out.
- NWS Mt Holly forecasting for central NJ sucks and is constantly changing before and even after the storm starts - so, beyond alerting us that “it might snow”, is not very accurate.