On the big storm 2 weeks ago I was doing measurements on my deck and was almost 6-7 inches ahead of what had been “officially” reported. It wasn’t until the morning the 28 inches I had reported verified “officially”
OT: Major winter storm 3/20-21?
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On the big storm 2 weeks ago I was doing measurements on my deck and was almost 6-7 inches ahead of what had been “officially” reported. It wasn’t until the morning the 28 inches I had reported verified “officially”
Calm down. I was thinking about you while I was clearing my driveway, muttering something to the effect of who the heck gets excited about this shit. Nothing personal, just business. . [cheers]
Storm seems to be doing some back building or at least holding very steady on the western side. I was at 7 inches at 9pm in Butler. Will check at 11 where I am. Shoveled once before and didn’t think I would have to again. Might need to get out there again
Looking at the radar, this thing looks parked off the Jersey Coast. It ain't moving north, south, east or west. It just keeps churning in the same position.
Ive never fallen asleep. Dozed off but never asleep. Just hit into those snow banks...wakes u right up.
I did say 15-18 inches. There are definitely, I would say 15 inches at the very least....and no, I'm not an anomaly. The whole town I live in got walloped like this.
I took this picture at 2pm this afternoon. 2PM. And it has been a hard, steady snow for the
last 9 hours. since then. It has snowed at least another 8-10 inches since this picture.
I took this picture at 2pm this afternoon. 2PM. And it has been a hard, steady snow for the
last 9 hours. since then. It has snowed at least another 8-10 inches since this picture.
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Compaction? If he is shoveling every couple hours, and measuring when he shovels, would he get an artificially high total?
Just took a quick walk around town, and saw one branch fall, heard another, and then just outside my house a telephone poll with a ton of wires and a transformer just cracked, lurched but did not fall. Yet. I called that one in to the cops.
Bust or no bust, seems like expectations for weather forecasts way exceed reason. I know our guys would probably don't want to hear this but I believe meteorological forecasts are not an exact science. It's one of the most useful courses I took at RU for a career in forest management, but I know from experience you can't expect precision.
Know it well. My whole family lives in Middletown. I'll check in on them first thing in the morning.
Still snowing pretty good up here in Morris Plains. More in the past 3-4 hours than it did the rest of the day
Amazing what a few hours will do. Easily up to 8. All of which occured in the last 2 hrs
Forester, good to see you post . Having attended "Cook" in the late 60's? 70s I surprised you remember much of anything. Hope to see you again at our tailgate this coming year. Hope to someday get a tour of some of the land you managed. As per our music thread do you remember any bands that played on campus or at Rutgers stadium during the years you attended?
Up to 6-7 inches. So an inch an hour for the last 2 hours.
heavy stuff, trees weeping everywhere.
I think that would be more in line with having a Zoo.:stuck_out_tongue_winking_eye: O and it's still snowing. I think a transformer just blew. I saw a bright flash and through my woods two farm's barns usually have lights on. Well there's no lights.
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Numerous reports on the weather boards and social media of 7-9" in Red Bank.
Edit: woke up and there was 1/4" of pixie dust on my car and driveway from after I went to sleep, so my final tally is 11.5". Interestingly, someone else reported 11.5" from Metuchen and there are plenty of tallies in Middlesex County, near me in that range.
We're at 11.25" as of 12:45 am, after my 3rd and final shovel, and still 31F. Went from moderate to light, non-accumulating snow around 12:30 am, so unless we get some backbuilding, I think that's my final number, just short of my 12" prediction yesterday afternoon. Will be awake for another hour or so and will watch the radar and remeasure if needed. If not, wow, what an amazing freaking storm, especially for Spring! And we were a bit fortunate that the snow was a lot drier for the last 2/3 of the storm and winds were not too strong, such that power outages have been minimal.
Been a ton of fun tracking, watching, and discussing (and yes, even bickering lol) this event with all of you and, of course, being out in it to enjoy it - it never gets old, even though I do. And remember, try to measure the snowfall at the end of the storm not tomorrow morning, as there is always some compaction (but luckily no melting tonight, which will limit compaction a bit).
P.S. I'm sure most of you will be happy to hear that the weekend storm is looking to be about 200 miles S of the area and likely will not affect us - but it's far enough out it needs to be watched a bit.
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Where are you located? Biggest numbers reported so far, oddly enough, are where the forecasts were for the least snow - the NJ coast from Toms River to Sandy Hook. Amazing what precip rates in a slow moving storm can do in just a few hours.I did say 15-18 inches. There are definitely, I would say 15 inches at the very least....and no, I'm not an anomaly. The whole town I live in got walloped like this.
I took this picture at 2pm this afternoon. 2PM. And it has been a hard, steady snow for the
last 9 hours. since then. It has snowed at least another 8-10 inches since this picture.
It's a very inexact science filled with uncertainty, by definition, given the realities of chaos theory, in which even minor variations in a model's initial conditions (which are never knows that accurately) can lead to major variations over time in the model output. It's literally impossible for weather forecasts to ever be completely accurate. The challenge, then, for mets, is how best to convey that uncertainty - the NWS tries via those snowfall maps that show their best guess, the outlier high snowfall (10% chance) and the outlier low snowfall (10% chance). NB, for example, was predicted to get around 14", with a low of 7" and a high of about 22". That's why after flirting with 12-18" for NB, they backed off to a more reasonable 10-15" and I think NB got 10 or 11.
Yeah, he made an absolute ass of himself - they're laughing at him on 33andrain. It's why you never claim victory or a bust too early. I'm pretty sure I can at least claim victory now in my decision to start this thread and my exhortations about the potential of the event even when it sometimes looked less likely to occur. Helluva pattern. And it might not be completely over...
Well, you have to draw lines somewhere - the logic was to try to keep the core "NYC Metro" counties together - I think it should've included Middlesex, as we're the only county bordering NYC that's not under that office. Also, Union is in the NWS-NYC group, but Middlesex is not.
Wow, what a friggin' moron - you kind of picked the wrong horse in this race. Hadn't seen these tweets That map was of what NYC-NWS expected just tonight and was not at all them admitting defeat - in fact most of the NYC metro/LI will end up with 10-18", not far from the 12-18" forecast. I hope this Cranky dude is tweeting formal apologies to the NWS.
Cranky was explaining why places were not getting the high amounts like 15-22...certainly verified for some of us like me and other parts of western jersey...he in later tweets explained how the movement of the storm got delayed which put an additional 4-5 inches at the coast so he definitely acknowledged this..he gave in storm analysis which was good to see because most weenies stop analyzing. I didnt see his tweets after 8 so ill have to go back
And its not a contest on who is right so not sure why you are claiming some sort of victory
And its not a contest on who is right so not sure why you are claiming some sort of victory
Still snowing at 5am in Somerset County...storm that wouldn't die..almost 24 hours...but its been pretty light here for the past 5 hours..maybe adding an inch total in that time while obviously other parts of the state got pounded by larger rates....if this was January we all would have been ****ed
So let me get this straight, Edison got 7", which is about what I'd say I got, but you somehow managed to get 11"+ in Metuchen ? Nobody is reporting those numbers anywhere in Middlesex County except you.
Middlesex County
Old Bridge: 8.5 inches
Spotswood: 7.5 inches
East Brunswick: 7.5 inches
Hopelawn: 7.5 inches
Edison: 7.2 inches
South Plainfield: 6.8 inches
South River: 6.2 inches
Fords: 6.0 inches
Perth Amboy: 6.0 inches
Woodbridge: 5.8 inches
South Old Bridge: 5.0 inches
Plainsboro: 4.5 inches
Cranbury: 4.1 inches
Highland Park: 4.0 inches
Sayreville: 3.5 inches
He can't answer now. He is coating the snow globe over his yard with flex seal and making snow angels in his yard.
I went to bed around 11, we had about 5-6 inches in a span of about 3 hours. When I woke up it was all gone off the previously coated trees and roads. I must have turned to rain? It looks closer to 4 inches now
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There is resolutely no ways these measurements on Nj.com are correct. They must have been taken by the snow deniers on this board.
I am in Aberdeen near Keyport boarder and we easily have 10-12 inches stacked on the patio table.
I am in Aberdeen near Keyport boarder and we easily have 10-12 inches stacked on the patio table.
I can't say much different in SB than last night even though it still was snowing through some of the night. Still looked like 5-6" on the grass/deck and 2" on the driveway maybe not even.
How do you even get dressed in the morning? Do you ever research, analyze and solve problems at work? This info is so easy to find. The Edison number, by the way, is low, as I saw 2 reports on line of 10 and 11 inches and another Metuchen guy reported 11".
...Middlesex County...
Cheesequake 12.5 220 AM 3/22 Trained Spotter
Port Reading 11.5 115 AM 3/22 Trained Spotter
Hopelawn 11.0 321 AM 3/22 Social Media
Sayreville 10.0 1109 PM 3/21 Social Media
Spotswood 10.0 1055 PM 3/21 Social Media
East Brunswick 10.0 1102 PM 3/21 Trained Spotter
Woodbridge 10.0 1033 PM 3/21 over 1 inch per hour
Cranbury 9.7 130 AM 3/22 Social Media
Perth Amboy 9.0 1103 PM 3/21 Trained Spotter
Monroe Twp 9.0 1103 PM 3/21 Trained Spotter
Edison 9.0 1204 AM 3/22 Newspaper
Old Bridge 8.3 1104 PM 3/21 Trained Spotter
Morristown 7.6 1200 AM 3/22 Social Media
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