It's an impossible forecast to get right for most people. That's why I like the forecaster's bottom line comment: "Bottom line here: This is incredibly challenging to forecast in advance and will likely not become clear until the event is unfolding." We're likely not going to know what's likely to happen until, well, it's happening.
Finally, I always like to guess what I'll get in any storm and have had some very good luck so far (predicted 14" for 12/16 and got ~10", predicted 19" for 2/1 and got 18", predicted 6" for 2/7 and got 6", and predicted 3" for 2/11 and got 2.75"). However, I have no clue about this one. Before today, I was thinking this was going to be a fairly mundane 6" thump for Metuchen and most of CNJ - now, who knows? Just for fun, I'll go with 3.5" of snow, then 1" of sleet (3" snow equivalent) on Thursday, then 1.5" of snow on Friday over a long period, but it could be 8" of all snow or 1" of snow, then 1.5" of sleet (~4.5" snow equivalent in mass) and 0.25" of freezing rain (2.5" snow equivalent), too. All three of those scenarios are 8" of snow equivalent at 10:1 (or 0.8" liquid equivalent), which is on the high side of the model forecasts, but rolling the dice, lol.
Hey
@RUJohnny - what are your thoughts now?