As per the seasonal tropical activity thread, it's now looking pretty likely that we'll see a new tropical (or subtropical) storm forming in the next few days to the east of the Bahamas and this system (Nicole or Owen, since there's also a potential TS forming in the central Atlantic and it's not clear which will form first) is both a tropical threat to FL and the SE US late this week and a hybrid system threat to the NE US, including our area, by next weekend. For FL and the SE US, the system has the potential to become a tropical/subtropical storm (but probably not a hurricane, although that can't be ruled out). It's still early, but models are indicating a FL landfall is possible by Thursday, leading to potentially flooding rains and some coastal flooding/surge, plus TS force winds can still do some damage.
For the northeast and our area, we could see a hybrid system (with some tropical characteristics and some non-tropical, i.e., more like a nor'easter) develop late in the week from the interaction of an approaching trough and upper level low NW of us and whatever tropical/subtropical entity we end up with along the SE coast - even if it's not a full-blown tropical system, the tropical moisture plume headed our way could be substantial leading to significant rainfall and potential urban/stream flooding and it's also possible we could see rough seas and some coastal flooding, although it's way too early to call for specific impacts. Worth watching this one...
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
For the northeast and our area, we could see a hybrid system (with some tropical characteristics and some non-tropical, i.e., more like a nor'easter) develop late in the week from the interaction of an approaching trough and upper level low NW of us and whatever tropical/subtropical entity we end up with along the SE coast - even if it's not a full-blown tropical system, the tropical moisture plume headed our way could be substantial leading to significant rainfall and potential urban/stream flooding and it's also possible we could see rough seas and some coastal flooding, although it's way too early to call for specific impacts. Worth watching this one...
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Last edited: