Just dry air...eventually it will overspread but for how long will be in the banding..i think 95 seperates haves a d have nots
OT: Potential Significant to Major Winter Storm Saturday, 1/29/22 (but high uncertainty)
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Just dry air...eventually it will overspread but for how long will be in the banding..i think 95 seperates haves a d have nots
As of 11:30 pm, up to 1.8", but only 0.3" the last hour, as the intensity let up some. Down to 29F. Radar looks like some heavier bands are en route.
Getting serious in downtown Newark. Wind and snow picking up significantly over the last few minutes.
My coastal Monmouth buddies said its heavy now big time down by them.
My coastal Monmouth buddies said its heavy now big time down by them.
BTW. My aunt, formerly of Mantoloking (sandy) currently resides in Wall but with a squan address. I know that whole area well.
Manasquan Park here. Across street from Manasquan River.
There's about 3 inches on the ground, and it is snowing, but not very hard. I'm going to live to regret typing this. 🤣
Going out to clear a pass now to cut down on the work tomorrow.
Great spot! And yes lol thats the best method. I think we will all be OK with this one. Glad you aren't getting buried.
Been steady light snow at the base of Sourland mountain for about an hour plus, but maybe an inch of accumulation, if that
As of 12:30 am, we're up to 2.25", for almost 1/2" the past hour and just in the last few minutes it started really picking up in intensity and I see the radar finally showing over 20 dBZ. Maybe we can get into 1" per hour rates, being not too far from the SPC's mesoscale discussion about 1-3" per hour rates through much of SNJ and the coast for the next few hours. 28F.
Heavy snow reported in Somerville...
I think it was closer to 2 inches, at least on the driveway. Very light and fluffy. We have a huge horseshoe driveway, and I cleaned the whole thing off in about an hour. May take another run at it at 6 or 7 a.m.
Radar looks like you guys should have heavy snow right now - eye exam time? :>)
So, up to 3.0" at 1:30 am, meaning 0.75" the last hour, with greater intensity, obviously, and the radar continues to look quite good, with moderate to almost heavy snow coming down - probably 3/8 of a mile visibility. Down to 27F.As of 12:30 am, we're up to 2.25", for almost 1/2" the past hour and just in the last few minutes it started really picking up in intensity and I see the radar finally showing over 20 dBZ. Maybe we can get into 1" per hour rates, being not too far from the SPC's mesoscale discussion about 1-3" per hour rates through much of SNJ and the coast for the next few hours. 28F.
Heavy snow reported in Somerville...
Plows came down street at 2:15 am in Woodbridge. Winds howling , snowing heavily, accumulating as we speak. Not looking very good outside gonna have an early breakfast.
And now up to 3.75" as of 2:30 am, for another 3/4" in the last hour. After measuring, which was difficult with the 20-30 mph winds moving the snow around so much, I went ahead and did my first shovel of the storm. I love shoveling in the dead of night without a soul around, in the perfect silent beauty of a gorgeous snowscape (in what's usually a busy town). And it gives me an excuse to be out in the snow. Was snowing moderately most of the time - we've been right on the edge of going consistently over 20 dBZ, but the band just won't quite get over us, although it's certainly better than 15 miles NW of me. Down to 25F.
Storm is overperforming so far for most and according to a couple of pros, the low is closing off SW of where progged and the radar is definitely further NW than expected, so they think we might have the low move NW of where it was expected, which would bring heavier snows to the 95 corridor and a bit NW of there. We'll see if that's correct.
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Shore getting crushed under ~30 dBZ bands for awhile, which must be producing 1.5-2.0" per hour, at least, if I'm getting 3/4" per hour under 20 dBZ - measuring is difficult with the wind - I have a board, but with so much blowing, I don't quite trust that one spot, so I take about a dozen measurements over a much larger area in the backyard, away from trees/the house to try to get what I hope is a more accurate overall average.
Radar looks like you guys should have heavy snow right now - eye exam time? :>)
Meh. Was not bad at all. Still not bad.
Meh. Was not bad at all. Still not bad.
As of 3:30 am, we're up to 4.25", as we got 1/2" last hour with somewhat diminished intensity, although the radar and my eyeballs are indicating intensity picking back up again now. Really want to get into some of those 1"+ per hour bands that look to only be 15-20 miles SE of me. Down to 24F.
Did a quick measure...looked about 3 here in Belle Mead but measured in just one spot. Per radar don't look like ive really been in the heavier bands
Did a quick pass with snow shovel on driveway that was cleared at 1 am. Maybe another 3 inches, being generous. It does not feel like a blizzard here in Wall. Not too windy and not snowing heavily. This is some of the fluffiest snow in recent memory. Easy to clear.
As of 4:30 am, we're up to about 4.75" (difficult to measure with blowing/drifting snow) as we had good intensity for awhile, but then it waned, giving us 0.5" last hour. NWS forecast as of 4 am was for 4-6" more snow, so I'm thinking we'll get to 8-10", which would be a great snowstorm. All the way down to 23F.
A friend in Dunellen has about 3" vs. my 4.75" and he's just 8 miles NW, but that makes a big difference with the SE to NW gradient - and you and he are roughly on the same NE to SW line. Pretty sure we should make 8" here.
Best chance at decent rates, from 4:30-10:30 am...
Mesoscale Discussion 0097
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0325 AM CST Sat Jan 29 2022
Areas affected...portions of the Delmarva Peninsula northeastward to
coastal/offshore Maine
Concerning...Heavy snow
Valid 290925Z - 291530Z
SUMMARY...Heavy snowfall -- with widespread rates in excess of an
inch per hour and increasing locally to 2" to 3" per hour over the
next few hours -- is expected through mid morning from the
Mid-Atlantic region to southeastern New England.
DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a large area of moderate to
heavy snowfall from southeastern Virginia to eastern Massachusetts.
The heaviest snow is indicated at this time from the southern
Delaware/far southeastern Maryland vicinity north-northeastward
across coastal southeastern New Jersey to portions of western and
central Long Island.
While models indicate the center of the surface low to be well to
the east, a cyclonic circulation evident in radar imagery is
indicated just east of the southern tip of the Delmarva Peninsula.
This circulation appears to be associated with a mid-level vorticity
maximum. As this vort max, and associated surface low, shift slowly
north-northeastward with time, the band of heaviest snowfall is
expected to remain aligned across the same general area, while
expanding northeastward, and eventually approaching coastal portions
of Maine through 29/15Z. This increase/expansion of the heavy snow
zone will occur as warm advection within a middle tropospheric layer
centered around 700mb strengthens over the next 3 to 6 hours.
In addition to the heavy snowfall, an increase in surface winds is
expected, in response to the gradual deepening of the surface low.
This will contribute to some further reductions in visibility due to
blowing snow -- even in areas outside of the heaviest snow bands, as
winds approach or exceed blizzard criteria.
Mesoscale Discussion 0097
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0325 AM CST Sat Jan 29 2022
Areas affected...portions of the Delmarva Peninsula northeastward to
coastal/offshore Maine
Concerning...Heavy snow
Valid 290925Z - 291530Z
SUMMARY...Heavy snowfall -- with widespread rates in excess of an
inch per hour and increasing locally to 2" to 3" per hour over the
next few hours -- is expected through mid morning from the
Mid-Atlantic region to southeastern New England.
DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a large area of moderate to
heavy snowfall from southeastern Virginia to eastern Massachusetts.
The heaviest snow is indicated at this time from the southern
Delaware/far southeastern Maryland vicinity north-northeastward
across coastal southeastern New Jersey to portions of western and
central Long Island.
While models indicate the center of the surface low to be well to
the east, a cyclonic circulation evident in radar imagery is
indicated just east of the southern tip of the Delmarva Peninsula.
This circulation appears to be associated with a mid-level vorticity
maximum. As this vort max, and associated surface low, shift slowly
north-northeastward with time, the band of heaviest snowfall is
expected to remain aligned across the same general area, while
expanding northeastward, and eventually approaching coastal portions
of Maine through 29/15Z. This increase/expansion of the heavy snow
zone will occur as warm advection within a middle tropospheric layer
centered around 700mb strengthens over the next 3 to 6 hours.
In addition to the heavy snowfall, an increase in surface winds is
expected, in response to the gradual deepening of the surface low.
This will contribute to some further reductions in visibility due to
blowing snow -- even in areas outside of the heaviest snow bands, as
winds approach or exceed blizzard criteria.
Just got woken up by my dogs. They were dying to get out and once again it's like their crack dealer came to town. I can no longer see my Great Pyrenees and I'm not going out to look for them. They're somewhere out there in one of the pastures. O yea and the "If You're Cold, They're Cold" PSA, what a crock of sh*t. I'm not going out there.
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First look this morning. A lot less then I thought because it was an impressive start. Mostly because the temps dropped so fast and it began to stick everywhere. Guessing 3.5 right now and NBC10 agrees. Not going out to measure yet. Not because of the snow but it's low 20s with 20mph winds.
AC and Cape May getting blasted.
AC and Cape May getting blasted.
Justin Godynick NJ 12 just said the pivoting will be starting about 7 am
AC boardwalk reports 13 inches at 6am
AC boardwalk reports 13 inches at 6am
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Just got a email from the Hillsborough Deli. It reads.... We are open today. If the snow doesn't give you the inches you need stop in for our 6 or 12 inchers.
