Tonight's event is getting more interesting - every model has come west and there's near consensus on the possibility of a 1-6" event for most of NJ/NYC, with 1-2" amounts 20+ miles N/W of I-95 (and very little in Warren/Sussex), 2-4" amounts within 15-20 miles of I-95 (higher amounts east and lower amounts west) and 3-6" amounts within 10-20 miles of the coast, assuming we get enough cold air and the changeover from rain to snow happens relatively quickly, as is being forecast, due to dynamic cooling.
If we get those kinds of amounts (and 6-8" is not impossible, especially towards the coast in NJ and east of NYC), there are going to be a lot of surprised people on Friday morning, as we'll eventually get slush on the roads (at least secondary ones). I'e expect to see winter weather advisories going up soon and for the NWS to increase snowfall amounts. Problem is bust potential is pretty high on the low side, as precip might not move as far west as modeled and/or if temps are just 1-2F warmer, we might see more rain than snow. Tough forecast, as usual, around these parts.
Not too far off - NWS did increase forecast snowfall amounts and put up advisories several hours after this. Anyway, below are snowfall reports for NJ, eastern PA and NYC/LI (with reports before 8 am stripped out, since they're incomplete; even before 9 am is borderline; also stripped out reports before noon from LI, where the snow ended well after noon).
NEW JERSEY
...ATLANTIC COUNTY...
MULLICA TWP 3.0 131 PM 2/05 SOCIAL MEDIA
HAMMONTON 2.8 1225 PM 2/05 CO-OP OBSERVER
ATLANTIC CITY INTL A 2.1 100 PM 2/05 ASOS
...BURLINGTON COUNTY...
MOUNT LAUREL 3.2 948 AM 2/05 SOCIAL MEDIA
MOUNT HOLLY WFO 3.0 1251 PM 2/05 NWS OFFICE
FLORENCE 2.9 925 AM 2/05 PUBLIC
DELRAN TWP 2.0 1204 PM 2/05 NWS EMPLOYEE
...CAMDEN COUNTY...
LINDENWOLD 2.2 815 AM 2/05 PUBLIC
WINSLOW TWP 2.0 801 AM 2/05 SOCIAL MEDIA
...CAPE MAY COUNTY...
SEAVILLE 3.0 1038 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE 2.8 1030 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
DENNISVILLE 2.0 1215 PM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
GOSHEN 1.5 1019 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
GREEN CREEK 1.2 1110 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
CAPE MAY HARBOR 0.5 944 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
...CUMBERLAND COUNTY...
HOPEWELL TWP 3.5 218 PM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
NEWPORT 2.4 836 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
...GLOUCESTER COUNTY...
WILLIAMSTOWN 3.0 111 PM 2/05 SOCIAL MEDIA
PITMAN 2.8 850 AM 2/05 SOCIAL MEDIA
WASHINGTON TWP 1.5 849 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
...HUNTERDON COUNTY...
WERTSVILLE 3.0 730 AM 2/05 CO-OP OBSERVER
WHITEHOUSE STATION 2.2 809 AM 2/05 PUBLIC
FLEMINGTON 1.5 819 AM 2/05 CO-OP OBSERVER
...MERCER COUNTY...
PRINCETON JUNCTION 3.0 1100 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
LAWRENCE TWP 1.5 840 AM 2/05 SOCIAL MEDIA
EWING 1.0 848 AM 2/05 SOCIAL MEDIA
...MIDDLESEX COUNTY...
CHEESEQUAKE 5.5 1130 AM 2/05 PUBLIC
JAMESBURG 5.0 1147 AM 2/05 SOCIAL MEDIA
OLD BRIDGE 4.0 1220 PM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
EDISON 4.0 100 PM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
METUCHEN 3.9 1200 PM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
PISCATAWAY 3.5 1217 PM 2/05 SOCIAL MEDIA
CRANBURY TWP 3.2 1159 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
HELMETTA 3.2 915 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
RUTGERS 3.1 800 AM 2/05 CO-OP OBSERVER
MORRISTOWN 2.8 913 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
CRANBURY 2.3 816 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
...MONMOUTH COUNTY...
NEPTUNE TWP 6.5 1120 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
FREEHOLD 6.0 1200 PM 2/05 SOCIAL MEDIA
MANALAPAN 5.2 1224 PM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
HOWELL TWP 5.0 1109 AM 2/05 SOCIAL MEDIA
COLTS NECK 4.9 202 PM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
WALL TWP 4.7 1100 AM 2/05 SOCIAL MEDIA
OCEAN TWP 4.5 1119 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
LONG BRANCH 4.0 1130 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
ABERDEEN TWP 4.0 1219 PM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
DEAL 4.0 1115 AM 2/05 SOCIAL MEDIA
...MORRIS COUNTY...
MARCELLA 3.8 1001 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
GREEN POND 3.8 908 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
DENVILLE 3.1 1012 AM 2/05 PUBLIC
BUTLER 3.0 915 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
...OCEAN COUNTY...
POINT PLEASANT 6.0 144 PM 2/05 SOCIAL MEDIA
TOMS RIVER 6.0 1107 AM 2/05 SOCIAL MEDIA
BRICK TWP 5.8 1149 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
MANAHAWKIN 4.0 1150 AM 2/05 SOCIAL MEDIA
WHITING 4.0 915 AM 2/05 SOCIAL MEDIA
BARNEGAT 3.7 116 PM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
NORMANDY BEACH 2.0 1145 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
...SOMERSET COUNTY...
WARREN TWP 3.5 950 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
HILLSBOROUGH TWP 2.5 1030 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
BASKING RIDGE 2.2 909 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
...SUSSEX COUNTY...
HIGHLAND LAKE 1.9 929 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
BYRAM TWP 1.0 1249 PM 2/05 SOCIAL MEDIA
WANTAGE 0.1 1136 AM 2/05 NWS EMPLOYEE
...WARREN COUNTY...
HACKETTSTOWN 0.8 742 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
...BERGEN COUNTY...
TENAFLY 4.0 831 AM 2/05 PUBLIC
RIDGEWOOD 3.3 1000 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
...ESSEX COUNTY...
NORTH CALDWELL 5.7 930 AM 2/05 PUBLIC
CEDAR GROVE 4.5 1010 AM 2/05 PUBLIC
WEST ORANGE 4.3 1258 PM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
NEWARK AIRPORT 2.8 100 PM 2/05
FAA OBSERVER
...HUDSON COUNTY...
HARRISON 3.1 1000 AM 2/05 CO-OP OBSERVER
...PASSAIC COUNTY...
WEST MILFORD 5.6 930 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
WAYNE 2.0 1030 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
...UNION COUNTY...
ELIZABETH 3.8 1100 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
ROSELLE 3.4 1145 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
NEW YORK
...BRONX COUNTY...
1 NE RIVERDALE 3.5 930 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
BRONX 3.1 900 AM 2/05 PUBLIC
...KINGS COUNTY...
WILLIAMSBURG 4.5 1045 AM 2/05 PUBLIC
...NASSAU COUNTY...
BETHPAGE 11.5 110 PM 2/05 PUBLIC
EAST HILLS 11.0 1230 PM 2/05 PUBLIC
PLAINVIEW 10.5 110 PM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
LEVITTOWN 10.2 1131 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
CARLE PLACE 9.5 1220 PM 2/05 AMATEUR RADIO
NEW HYDE PARK 9.3 1220 PM 2/05 AMATEUR RADIO
LONG BEACH 9.0 1215 PM 2/05 PUBLIC
EAST NORWICH 8.3 1220 PM 2/05 AMATEUR RADIO
WESTBURY 7.5 100 PM 2/05
NWS EMPLOYEE
EAST MEADOW 6.9 1220 PM 2/05 AMATEUR RADIO
JERICHO 6.2 1220 PM 2/05 AMATEUR RADIO
...NEW YORK COUNTY...
CENTRAL PARK 2.5 100 PM 2/05 PARK CONSERVANCY
HARLEM 2.4 1120 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
HARLEM 2.0 846 AM 2/05 PUBLIC
...PUTNAM COUNTY...
PUTNAM VALLEY 1.8 930 AM 2/05 BROADCAST MEDIA
...QUEENS COUNTY...
NYC/JFK AIRPORT 4.6 100 PM 2/05
FAA OBSERVER
NYC/LA GUARDIA 2.4 100 PM 2/05
FAA OBSERVER
WHITESTONE 2.3 107 PM 2/05
NWS EMPLOYEE
1
WSW WALDEN TERRACE 1.7 1215 PM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
...RICHMOND COUNTY...
OAKWOOD HEIGHTS STAT 3.1 1000 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
...ROCKLAND COUNTY...
CHESTNUT
RIDGE 4.0 849 AM 2/05 SITE ELEVATION 500
FT
...SUFFOLK COUNTY...
SAINT JAMES 11.9 110 PM 2/05 PUBLIC
SOUTH HUNTINGTON 11.0 1130 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
BAY SHORE 10.0 1230 PM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
CENTEREACH 9.7 100 PM 2/05
NWS EMPLOYEE
ISLIP AIRPORT 9.6 100 PM 2/05
FAA OBSERVER
HAUPPAUGE 9.0 1230 PM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
SMITHTOWN 9.0 1229 PM 2/05 PUBLIC
CORAM 9.0 1222 PM 2/05 PUBLIC
UPTON 7.7 100 PM 2/05
NWS OFFICE
SHOREHAM 7.0 1100 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
EAST ISLIP 6.5 1225 PM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
PORT JEFFERSON 5.5 1100 AM 2/05 SOCIAL MEDIA
PORT JEFFERSON STATI 5.5 1131 AM 2/05 SOCIAL MEDIA
...WESTCHESTER COUNTY...
WHITE PLAINS 5.0 1100 AM 2/05 PUBLIC
YONKERS 4.0 1226 PM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
SCARSDALE 4.0 1238 PM 2/05 PUBLIC
DOBBS FERRY 3.1 1030 AM 2/05 PUBLIC
PENNSYLVANIA
...BUCKS COUNTY...
NEWTOWN 3.2 838 AM 2/05 SOCIAL MEDIA
MORRISVILLE 2.1 913 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
FURLONG 1.8 843 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
BRIDGEWATER 1.3 900 AM 2/05 COCORAHS
DOYLESTOWN 0.5 1002 AM 2/05 CO-OP OBSERVER
...CHESTER COUNTY...
EXTON 1.4 930 AM 2/05 CO-OP OBSERVER
...DELAWARE COUNTY...
CHADDS FORD 1.7 823 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
GARNET VALLEY 1.5 1037 AM 2/05 COCORAHS
...LEHIGH COUNTY...
LEHIGH VALLEY INTL A T 748 AM 2/05 ASOS
...MONTGOMERY COUNTY...
HORSHAM 2.5 800 AM 2/05 SOCIAL MEDIA
WYNNEWOOD 1.8 830 AM 2/05 PUBLIC
GRATERFORD 0.1 900 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
...PHILADELPHIA COUNTY...
FOX CHASE 1.4 700 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER
PHILADELPHIA INTL AI 1.2 100 PM 2/05 ASOS