BACATOLOGY: NCAA TOURNAMENT ANALYSIS 2/21

[RUChoppin]

I don't even know how you properly compare RU and UNC. Both teams are being cited by the experts as having extreme resumes in that ours is crazy/unique and theirs is the definition of safe.

On bracket matrix we are one place above then fwiw.

Question for both teams is how they finish out the year.

UNC has only one opportunity for a "good win" left, and it's a rivalry game on the road at Duke, and two risks of bad losses.

Rutgers has 3 opportunities for good wins, and one risk of a bad loss.

Fortunes can change very quickly over the next two weeks depending on the outcomes of those games.

 

[bac2therac]

the thing is it will not come down to Rutgers vs UNC for that last spot...it would be Rutgers vs Memphis or UNC vs San Diego State

 

[kcg88]

8 Arkansas fouls, 1 Florida foul so far in the second half. Wild.

 

[Greene Rice FIG]

Yeah maybe true but as much as you do not want to acknowledge how good a win that was when we couldn’t make 10 layups or 5-7 foot shots and should have been a 10-15 point win , I find your thought offensive to any Rutgers fan. You minimize every great accomplishment this team and the last 3 years under Pike have accomplished. It is getting old having to defend Rutgers on this board with your takes.

So untrue. I have said many many times that Pike should have a statue in front of the RAC.

anyway this has nothing NOTHiNg to do with how good Rutgers is? This is about Rutgers as a NCAA team. 2 total and separate things

 

[kcg88]

Hey Musselman maybe throw a second guy Castleton's way every once in a while. Jesus.

 

[Greene Rice FIG]

We are officially 5-3 in Q1

 

[goru7]

So untrue. I have said many many times that Pike should have a statue in front of the RAC.

anyway this has nothing NOTHiNg to do with how good Rutgers is? This is about Rutgers as a NCAA team. 2 total and separate things

How would you know how good Rutgers is ? You don’t use your eyes. Now you try to minimize every ranked win from # 1 to # 16 and minimize wins against other teams in the tourney or on the bubble that media and coaches thought they deserved to be rated where they were rated. Keep going

 

[Groz]

The problem is the committee is made up of many small conference bozos

You are correct and they are human beings.

Best of Luck,
Groz

 

[colbert17]

There are too many statistics and numbers being used here. Everyone can rationalize everything.

 

[bac2therac]

Sparty is horrible

 

[bac2therac]

Hey Musselman maybe throw a second guy Castleton's way every once in a while. Jesus.

good run for Arky, lets see if they can close it out

 

[bac2therac]

I would say Iowa is all but a lock, I guess there is some small chance they lose all 4 and then they would head back onto the bubble at 18-12... at Nebby, NW, at Ill, at Mich

 

[goru7]

Sparty is horrible

Not when we played them.

 

[Greene Rice FIG]

How would you know how good Rutgers is ? You don’t use your eyes. Now you try to minimize every ranked win from # 1 to # 16 and minimize wins against other teams in the tourney or on the bubble that media and coaches thought they deserved to be rated where they were rated. Keep going

We are 16-10. We are a bubble team. Right now we are playing like a Top 25 team. Need to keep winning. At least 2 more

 

[Greene Rice FIG]

There are too many statistics and numbers being used here. Everyone can rationalize everything.

I love statistics

 

[Greene Rice FIG]

I would say Iowa is all but a lock, I guess there is some small chance they lose all 4 and then they would head back onto the bubble at 18-12... at Nebby, NW, at Ill, at Mich

5% at most probability they go winless.

 

[knightfan7]

Anyone know why there were police along the sideline at the Ark-Fla game?

 

[kcg88]

Down goes Florida. Get 'em outta here.

 

[bac2therac]

Yep, very unlikley they beat Kentucky...this was a huge result for other bubble schools

 

[jordkap]

Oklahoma getting whipped is another good thing

 

[fatsam98]

Texas Tech up on Oklahoma early 2nd half.

Miami blowing out Pitt

 

[kcg88]

Gators can only hurt themselves in their next two (@Georgia, @Vandy) before their last stand against Kentucky.

 

[kcg88]

I'll give props to Iowa who I previously called fraud-y. Didn't think they had it in them to beat Ohio State in Columbus and Michigan State by 26. That's going to end up looking like a really good win for us.

 

[colbert17]

I love statistics

How did the game survive all these years without us knowing offensive and defensive efficiencies?
I can't wait until we factor in launch angles on shots, exit velos on outlet passes and catch probabilities on lob passes.

 

[Scangg]

I'll give props to Iowa who I previously called fraud-y. Didn't think they had it in them to beat Ohio State in Columbus and Michigan State by 26. That's going to end up looking like a really good win for us.

Iowa is maybe the next best after Rutgers/OSU

 

[goru7]

Not when we played them.

Another one of my pet peeves. People playing no attention of when you played a team. Did you play them when they were playing like a top 25 team and you beat them straight up as compared to beating a fringe top 25 team when they are in the middle of a losing streak playing crappy basketball. The NET and other metrics do not take that crap into account. But a committee member doing a deeper dive into someone ‘s resume , should definitely factor that win with a little extra star next to it.

 

[kcg88]

Iowa is maybe the next best after Rutgers/OSU

Right now Iowa is playing like a top team. Won 5 of their last 6 included two Q1 wins.

 

[bac2therac]

Anyone know why there were police along the sideline at the Ark-Fla game?

last game when they beat #2 Auburn they stormed the court, not sure why they think a win over #18 would cause another one

 

[kcg88]

This isn't bubble talk but Nebraska can't bring back Fred Hoiberg at this point, can they?

EDIT: More non-bubble... it's wild that Chris Arcidiacono plays for Villanova and Trey Patterson doesn't. Jay Wright is so good at coaching players to understand their role and thrive in it.

 

[Scangg]

This isn't bubble talk but Nebraska can't bring back Fred Hoiberg at this point, can they?

You would think not

 

[colbert17]

Anyone know why there were police along the sideline at the Ark-Fla game?

Juwan Howard at the game.

 

[Greene Rice FIG]

You would think not

throw him in the heap so he can hang with Archie

 

[Scangg]

throw him in the heap so he can hang with Archie

Archie probably applying for the job

 

[kcg88]

Oklahoma getting doubled up by Texas Tech (58-29). Get 'em outta here.

 

[Greene Rice FIG]

Archie probably applying for the job

Hoiberg wont win until he brings in 6 star recruits or poaches danny manning to be his assistant

 

[kcg88]

I know it's a trope that "the bubble is weak" comes up every year but the bubble is WEAK this year. Everyone in the First Four Out and Next Four Out keeps losing.

At this point I think the Big 12 is most likely to get 6 bids (it looked like 7 last week but Oklahoma, Kansas State, and West Virginia kept losing). The Atlantic-10 (looking for 2), MWC (looking for 4), and WCC (looking for 4) stand to benefit most.

 

[bac2therac]

TCU has a rough schedule

at Texas
Texas Tech
Kansas
at WVU

they could lose all 4, even a win over WVU probably would still leave them needing a win in the Big 12 tourney to get a bid

 

[kcg88]

TCU has a rough schedule

at Texas
Texas Tech
Kansas
at WVU

they could lose all 4, even a win over WVU probably would still leave them needing a win in the Big 12 tourney to get a bid

A five-bid Big 12 would be insane. But you're right it's in play (I give it maybe 5%, but still)

BTW I know you mentioned Vanderbilt as a longshot possibility and they're up in the first half against Alabama right now. But they have H2H losses against VCU and SMU, that's going to be bad for them if they work their way into the conversation.

 

[Shell21]

How far down is Sparty slipping? Their win at Wiscy and over Uconn are carrying them right now.

 

[Big boy stan]

Nothing to do with bubble talk but good game going on at Villanova UConn