A couple of teams that Rutgers beat in scrimmages? Meh.
(Kidding. It's been a great game and a great atmosphere. I really hope UConn loses by 2-3 and can chalk it up directly to Danny Hurley's technicals... even though his ejection was BS)
BACATOLOGY: NCAA TOURNAMENT ANALYSIS 2/21
- Thread starter bac2therac
- Start date
(Kidding. It's been a great game and a great atmosphere. I really hope UConn loses by 2-3 and can chalk it up directly to Danny Hurley's technicals... even though his ejection was BS)
Villanova needs to sit Gillespie out for a few games after this to heal. Let the Big East title go and get right for the tournament.
Iowa looked dominating tonight! Just made our game at Michigan that much more important to stay ahead of them and make our case for NCAA
They are definitely on the outside looking in. But they playing a
I think the B12 and the SEC has a number of really good teams but the B12 has been an absolute war this year , even worse than the BIG 10 and probably like the Big 10 the last 2 years. They expend so much energy on every night and a number of games went to the wire. Starting to see the wear and tear build up and now Oklahoma and West Virginia are shells of what they were earlier. Very tough question for the committee will be these bubble BIG 12 teams , who if they went out of conference , would probably win a game or 2 in the tourney as long as they did not have to play their conference mates. On the other hand , has it sucked all the energy out of them that they would have nothing left to give. No easy answer
if they can get tonight, they have 2 landmines vs Ole Miss and MSU plus Florida at home, its possibly they win those 3 and are 18-12/10-8 and would need a win vs one of the top 3 in the SEC....they do have wins over LSU, at Arky, BYU on a neutral court, add in a Bama win, a Florida win and maybe a win over Tennessee and that is not a bad resume
Texas A&M still alive barely at 16-11...wins over Arky, Florida, ND...would have to win the last 3 of at Ole Miss, at Bama, and Mississippi State and then knock off a top 3 but I think even then they are still longshots
its basically down to just one Big 12 bubble now...TCU
Oklahoma at 14-14 is done, ditto for KSU, they would both have to win out and then reach the Big 12 finals, the loss mark is just too great for either to overcome
yes barring winning its last 3 and then reaching the big 12 finals, that would put them at 19-15
Two big makeup calls for UConn. Gillespie got mugged on the tie-up and then that crappy charge. But the techs on Hurley were weak so whatever.
as long as they win one more which I guess is beating Maryland they should still make it. I had them a borderline 4...5 a couple weeks back. I had them a 7 before tonight but its likely they are down to 8 now
I know what history has been with the 500 record or only a win or 2 above 500 but if they are around 2 over and one or both of the bubbles make it to the semifinals or the final of the B12 tourney beating 1-2 of the top 4 , then I do not think they should be deemed done.
no and their resume look terrible....they dont even good wins anymore.....no one is giving bids to 18-16 schools or 17-15, Texas tested that at 16-15 and Indiana at 17-15 and both had way better resumes than these schools
get back to me when they are in the Big 12 finals
get back to me when they are in the Big 12 finals
On the replay, he clearly travelled before the tie up and it wasn’t called.
I think your overvaluing the rest of the ACC vs the bottom half of the BIG with your outcome assumptions. The marginal difference between fringe NIT teams and bubblish NCAA teams (9-11 seeds / first few in / out) is razor thin. That’s why wins over solid tourney teams is an important stand alone metric.
Do you really think DePaul, NW and PSU are that much worse than WF or Miami? They actually played - one was an OT game - the other was decided by 5 points. UNC wasn’t even close in those road losses. Also - DePaul beat UofL at their place. It’s not like UNC breezed past UofL - they needed OT to win the road game. Why are you so sure going to DePaul would’ve been a win for UNC?
San Diego State loses a heartbreaker...great result....Boise is basically a lock now. I think the Aztecs do have a makeup game at Wyoming but thats going to be their last opportunity at a quality win before the MVC tourney and they look like they will finish in that 4/5 grouping which means taking on the top team in the semis if they get there.
Numbers crunch tomorrow to see if they fall out of the field after this loss but now down to 2-7 in Q1 games is not a good sign for them
Numbers crunch tomorrow to see if they fall out of the field after this loss but now down to 2-7 in Q1 games is not a good sign for them
2/22 update:
48 brackets updated today. Of which we're in the dance in 71%. Interestingly even though that's an increase from yesterday, we're either an 11 or 12 seed in almost all of them (down slightly from an average 11 seed yesterday).
I think this is reflective of the weak bubble... People are starting to put us in just because the other bubble teams keep losing.
This is nuts, every single projected winner by KenPom won yesterday.
Boise state is actually 22-6 away from the RAC. That’s gotta count for something
I think Green’s perception of teams like Boston College, UofL, Georgia Tech, Pitt and Clemson is better than those teams actually are. DePaul’s road win at Louisville speaks volumes. I think they were down a player or two there too. These ACC teams are slightly better than Nebraska (if that).
Someone pointed this out a week or two ago, but with Michigan at 33 in the NET this morning, we may pick up a Quad 1 tonight win or lose:
We win and get the Quad 1 road win
Or
We lose and Michigan bumps up to 30 in the NET and our home win moves from Quad 2 to Quad 1
We win and get the Quad 1 road win
Or
We lose and Michigan bumps up to 30 in the NET and our home win moves from Quad 2 to Quad 1
