Euro comes in and continues to crush us
expect more confidence in the 12-18 inch forecasts going forward
expect more confidence in the 12-18 inch forecasts going forward
Follow along with the video below to see how to install our site as a web app on your home screen.
Note: This feature may not be available in some browsers.
Euro comes in and continues to crush us
expect more confidence in the 12-18 inch forecasts going forward
Cautionary note: The last few model runs are reflective of something I like to call "The 48 hour Cardiac".
With seemingly every major storm there's a period around 48 hours prior where the models go though some kind of orgasmic hysteria and predict what is essentially the end of the world.
In nearly every case, they recover their sanity no more than 24 hours later.
What I'm saying is... there's a good chance that we start to see some decreased intensity starting with the overnight runs, tonight. I still think we'll get a hell of a storm, but... not the storm that the latest Euro - and the latest UKMet - are showing us.
Cautionary note: The last few model runs are reflective of something I like to call "The 48 hour Cardiac".
With seemingly every major storm there's a period around 48 hours prior where the models go though some kind of orgasmic hysteria and predict what is essentially the end of the world.
In nearly every case, they recover their sanity no more than 24 hours later.
What I'm saying is... there's a good chance that we start to see some decreased intensity starting with the overnight runs, tonight. I still think we'll get a hell of a storm, but... not the storm that the latest Euro - and the latest UKMet - are showing us.
Now, boys... Let us remember the words of the great Winston Wolf.
Cautionary note: The last few model runs are reflective of something I like to call "The 48 hour Cardiac".
With seemingly every major storm there's a period around 48 hours prior where the models go though some kind of orgasmic hysteria and predict what is essentially the end of the world.
In nearly every case, they recover their sanity no more than 24 hours later.
What I'm saying is... there's a good chance that we start to see some decreased intensity starting with the overnight runs, tonight. I still think we'll get a hell of a storm, but... not the storm that the latest Euro - and the latest UKMet - are showing us.
Another reason to dampen the collective enthusiasm for this storm is that the latest Euro puts a 977 mb low just off of Atlantic City and brings 60+ mph winds to the entire coast, with gusts inland upwards of 48 - 50 mph. At astronomical high tide. That can't be good.
The weenies are out on AmericanWX in full force, smdh.
I think in Bergen County it's safe to say we should expect a foot or so at this point. A work from home day.
The weenies are out on AmericanWX in full force, smdh.
I think in Bergen County it's safe to say we should expect a foot or so at this point. A work from home day.
I hope you're rightCautionary note: The last few model runs are reflective of something I like to call "The 48 hour Cardiac".
With seemingly every major storm there's a period around 48 hours prior where the models go though some kind of orgasmic hysteria and predict what is essentially the end of the world.
In nearly every case, they recover their sanity no more than 24 hours later.
What I'm saying is... there's a good chance that we start to see some decreased intensity starting with the overnight runs, tonight. I still think we'll get a hell of a storm, but... not the storm that the latest Euro - and the latest UKMet - are showing us.
You guys could be the NJ sweetspot. Even if the storm makes a significant shift west, you're far enough inland that you'd likely still get all snow and even if it makes a significant shift east, you'd still likely get major snow, as the precip shield is going to be pretty large no matter what. And if the snowy solutions hit, you're perfectly placed a few hundred miles NW of the storm center, where the best mesoscale deformation bands set up. plus you're far enough NE that you'll be closer to the storm when it's more powerful than it will be when it's closer to Philly, for example (it'll be strengthening during its entire move NE off the coast. At least 12-16" and 24" or more are on the table right now for you.
Take a look at the wind field, from the 12z Euro.
That's why I'm sure blizzard watches go up and why coastal flooding could get up to moderate levels (nowhere near Sandy).
You guys could be the NJ sweetspot. Even if the storm makes a significant shift west, you're far enough inland that you'd likely still get all snow and even if it makes a significant shift east, you'd still likely get major snow, as the precip shield is going to be pretty large no matter what. And if the snowy solutions hit, you're perfectly placed a few hundred miles NW of the storm center, where the best mesoscale deformation bands set up. plus you're far enough NE that you'll be closer to the storm when it's more powerful than it will be when it's closer to Philly, for example (it'll be strengthening during its entire move NE off the coast. At least 12-16" and 24" or more are on the table right now for you.
Anyone have a link to the Euro snowfall total map?
I'm going to have to move the lawn mower back into the shed and take out the snow blower again.With the anticipated snow levels it probably will require multiple snow blowing time frames to keep up with the storm.Waiting to the end of the storm could be very difficult because the height of the snow will prevent getting a path started for use of the snow blower.Well if we get 30 inches the State will be closed all week.
Condo. Truck. Underground Parking. Blizzard? Bring It!